Correlation between total favorable rating and horserace % in our Iowa poll? +0.76. Correlation between VERY favorable rating and horserace % in our Iowa poll? +0.90. The very favorable rating is a far more telling stat in a caucus/primary where many are liked.
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I mean, I "know" that it was a fluke for various reasons, most or none of which apply to Dem WH 2020, but others "know" differently. We'll have more evidence in a few months.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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