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jbview's profile
Jonathan Bernstein
Jonathan Bernstein
Jonathan Bernstein
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@jbview

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Jonathan BernsteinVerified account

@jbview

Bloomberg Opinion. Also, I root for the Giants. The Making of the Presidential Candidates 2020. Sign up for Early Returns!

bloomberg.com/view/contribut…
Joined December 2009

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    Jonathan Bernstein‏Verified account @jbview 22 Apr 2019

    Jonathan Bernstein Retweeted Fred Kaplan

    Disagree. The 538 numbers show a rapid and fairly constant slide beginning with the collapse of the cover-up early in 1973, continuing through the Massacre and the release of the first tapes, and stabilizing in 1974.https://twitter.com/fmkaplan/status/1120317447704326144 …

    Jonathan Bernstein added,

    Fred KaplanVerified account @fmkaplan
    Not sure about that. Time lines show it was much more (a) Saturday night massacre and (b) discovery an release of the tapes. The latter was decisive. https://twitter.com/MrWalterShapiro/status/1120313740296097793 …
    10:50 AM - 22 Apr 2019
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    1 reply 2 retweets 5 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Jonathan Bernstein‏Verified account @jbview 22 Apr 2019

        If that's correct, it means the Senate Watergate Committee probably did in fact keep Nixon's approval moving down over the spring and summer. A lot of the early revelations by the way came out of the (failed) confirmation hearings for FBI director nominee Patrick Gray.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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      3. Jonathan Bernstein‏Verified account @jbview 22 Apr 2019

        The biggest revelations from the Gray hearings were that Nixon actively interfered with the continuing FBI investigation. Also that Gray himself had destroyed Watergate evidence.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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      4. Jonathan Bernstein‏Verified account @jbview 22 Apr 2019

        Sure, Trump has made some very stupid nominations, but nothing quite as foolish as Nixon's decision to nominate Gray.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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      5. Jonathan Bernstein‏Verified account @jbview 22 Apr 2019

        What is true is that the Saturday Night Massacre was a big turning point in terms of elite opinion and behavior with respect to impeachment. Before, it was mostly a fringe liberal thing; after, if was very mainstream.

        2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      6. Jonathan Bernstein‏Verified account @jbview 22 Apr 2019

        Although many conservative Dems and moderate Republicans in Congress were on the fence until the Judiciary Committee acted in summer '74 - and conservative Republicans were mostly flat-out opposed until the "smoking gun" tape was released in August.

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      7. Jonathan Bernstein‏Verified account @jbview 22 Apr 2019

        As I've argued before: The deal with the Smoking Gun tape was more a question of Nixon continuing to cover up and lie than it was with the specific lie undermined in that tape.

        1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
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      8. Jonathan Bernstein‏Verified account @jbview 22 Apr 2019

        Which gives me an excuse to link to the points I made in this morning's ER: The big difference between Watergate and Iran/Contra is that Congress was convinced that the cover-up in 1974 was continuing and would continuehttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-04-22/mueller-report-congress-has-options-for-dealing-with-trump?srnd=opinion …

        2 replies 2 retweets 2 likes
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      9. Jonathan Bernstein‏Verified account @jbview 22 Apr 2019

        and also that Nixon, unlike Reagan, refused to accept the rest of the government as legitimate. Both of those made impeachment more necessary and likely.https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-04-22/mueller-report-congress-has-options-for-dealing-with-trump?srnd=opinion …

        1 reply 2 retweets 3 likes
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