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jburnmurdoch's profile
John Burn-Murdoch
John Burn-Murdoch
John Burn-Murdoch
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@jburnmurdoch

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John Burn-MurdochVerified account

@jburnmurdoch

Stories, stats & scatterplots for @FinancialTimes | Daily updates of the coronavirus trajectory tracker | john.burn-murdoch@ft.com | #dataviz

Doncaster  ➡️ London
ft.com/jbm
Joined June 2009

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    1. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 13 Apr 2020

      NEW: Mon 13 April update of coronavirus trajectories Daily deaths: • US & UK still trending up, though the peak could be in sight for both • Success stories in dark blue: Australia, Norway, Austria locked down early => gentle slopes Live charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest …pic.twitter.com/IRRT5FgcSW

      164 replies 1,614 retweets 2,801 likes
      Show this thread
    2. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 13 Apr 2020

      Now cumulative deaths: • US death toll highest worldwide and still rising steeply 📈 • UK curve still matching Italy’s, but death toll could end up higher • Australia still looking promising All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest …pic.twitter.com/TmYh56ZLsv

      51 replies 465 retweets 814 likes
      Show this thread
    3. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 13 Apr 2020

      Now daily new cases: • Signs still point toward new infections in US & UK peaking • New cases falling in four countries that acted early: New Zealand, Australia, Norway, Australia All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest …pic.twitter.com/qOxqtEJONc

      25 replies 224 retweets 365 likes
      Show this thread
    4. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 13 Apr 2020

      Cases in cumulative form: • US approaching 600k confirmed cases • Turkey still battling one of the world’s most severe outbreaks • Curves flattened early in Austria, Australia, Norway All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest …pic.twitter.com/tSSAeDNrng

      20 replies 263 retweets 552 likes
      Show this thread
    5. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 13 Apr 2020

      Now subnational region daily deaths: • Early signs that NY daily deaths may be peaking, but need to wait and see • Same in London, though Easter weekend reporting is having a big downward effect on UK numbers All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest …pic.twitter.com/vgHzYY55aE

      9 replies 103 retweets 219 likes
      Show this thread
      John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 13 Apr 2020

      Subnational death tolls cumulatively: • NY death toll still tragically rising faster than any other region at this stage of its outbreak. Has passed 10,000 deaths; likely to pass Lombardy within days All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest …pic.twitter.com/1oCqSaVbho

      3:49 PM - 13 Apr 2020
      • 106 Retweets
      • 204 Likes
      • Kathleen113 Michael Grover Andrés del Ángel Escalona Ricardo Nagato Pornastro Dehron Foster Peter Plavchan إبراهيم خويلد frances bulwer #Still European #RejoinEU🇪🇺
      5 replies 106 retweets 204 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 13 Apr 2020

          Small multiples of daily deaths in subnational regions, grouped by country • Sao Paulo death toll rising • Daily deaths may have peaked in Paris • Tennessee added, now 17 US states • Sicily, Sardinia, Balearics all low curves: do islands fare better?pic.twitter.com/NfGWVBoHEm

          6 replies 45 retweets 134 likes
          Show this thread
        3. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 13 Apr 2020

          Small multiples for daily new deaths in 51 countries: • Norway locked down while Sweden didn’t; Norway’s daily death toll rising much more slowly than Sweden’s • Australia flat-ish so far • In Europe, Austria & Denmark faring well All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest …pic.twitter.com/M9u5CU7AJY

          6 replies 68 retweets 154 likes
          Show this thread
        4. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 13 Apr 2020

          Small multiples for daily cases in 72 countries • Early action in Australia & New Zealand may have turned the corner early 🇦🇺🇳🇿📉 • Austria & Norway locked down early; new cases falling • New cases in Belgium may be peaking Live versions of all charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest …pic.twitter.com/9BmvogFDZh

          6 replies 76 retweets 132 likes
          Show this thread
        5. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 13 Apr 2020

          John Burn-Murdoch Retweeted John Burn-Murdoch

          Things to note: • Daily covid data is extremely noisy and implies false precision • This is why we use a rolling average. Watch for general trends. Focus on slopes, not specific daily numbers • Read Tuesday’s thread for more on thishttps://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1247666977566490626 …

          John Burn-Murdoch added,

          John Burn-MurdochVerified account @jburnmurdoch
          NEW: Tue 7 April update of coronavirus trajectories Big changes here, so tonight’s thread will be fewer charts and more explanations. Here’s the revamped daily deaths chart. I’ve switched from a 7-day rolling average to true daily numbers* All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest … pic.twitter.com/oSvoKnKEMp
          Show this thread
          3 replies 30 retweets 100 likes
          Show this thread
        6. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 13 Apr 2020

          We’ve also changed our data sourcing recently. I’m no longer happy using Worldometers, so now sourcing all data directly from official country sources (health ministries etc). This takes longer, but given my concerns over data quality on covid, I think this is important.

          6 replies 23 retweets 191 likes
          Show this thread
        7. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 13 Apr 2020

          John Burn-Murdoch Retweeted

          Here’s a video where I explain why we’re using log scales, showing absolute numbers instead of per capita, and much more: https://twitter.com/janinegibson/status/1244519429825802240 …

          John Burn-Murdoch added,

          This Tweet is unavailable.
          4 replies 30 retweets 112 likes
          Show this thread
        8. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 13 Apr 2020

          John Burn-Murdoch Retweeted John Burn-Murdoch

          And a new chart showing why we're using absolute numbers rather than population-adjusted rates:https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1249821596199596034 …

          John Burn-Murdoch added,

          John Burn-MurdochVerified account @jburnmurdoch
          NEW: ahead of tonight’s main thread, some fresh analysis of the factors that do — and do not — appear to influence the pace of countries’ covid-19 outbreaks. First, for the per-capita brigade: There is only a very very weak relationship between population and covid death toll. pic.twitter.com/Xn6s4JUX38
          Show this thread
          8 replies 49 retweets 165 likes
          Show this thread
        9. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 13 Apr 2020

          Please email coronavirus-data@ft.com with feedback, requests & subnational data. All of these are invaluable, and we incorporate your suggestions and data every day. We’ll keep getting back to as many people as possible. Goodnight, one and all :-)

          9 replies 15 retweets 111 likes
          Show this thread
        10. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 13 Apr 2020

          And I do mean the above. We reply to 100s of queries each week and take on board all feedback. In fact that’s now pretty much a full time job! These charts cover a complex & critical subject, and there are dozens of legitimate questions to be asked of them. Please keep asking 🙂

          19 replies 10 retweets 251 likes
          Show this thread
        11. End of conversation

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