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jburnmurdoch's profile
John Burn-Murdoch
John Burn-Murdoch
John Burn-Murdoch
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@jburnmurdoch

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John Burn-MurdochVerified account

@jburnmurdoch

Stories, stats & scatterplots for @FinancialTimes | Mainly Covid for now | Visiting senior fellow @LSEdataScience | john.burn-murdoch@ft.com | #dataviz

Doncaster  ➡️ London
ft.com/jbm
Joined June 2009

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    John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 5 Apr 2020

    NEW: Sun 5 April update of coronavirus trajectories Daily new deaths: • US now recording more daily deaths than any country in the world since outbreaks began • UK still on similar path to Italy, suggesting ~2 weeks from peak daily deaths Live charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest …pic.twitter.com/tThapcE7NE

    1:52 PM - 5 Apr 2020
    • 3,193 Retweets
    • 5,002 Likes
    • 𝐉𝐢𝐦 𝐇𝐚𝐰𝐤𝐢𝐧𝐬 Alexandros D. Drakatos かわしょ Marcus Hazell ちょこ Nikolaj T. Alessandro Gas amir alipour umebouzu
    271 replies 3,193 retweets 5,002 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 5 Apr 2020

        How does that look cumulatively? • US death toll has now passed Italy’s, and is on a much steeper slope than Italy was at this stage • US could have the highest total death toll globally within a week All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest …pic.twitter.com/KrdsGVYP6C

        54 replies 680 retweets 1,123 likes
        Show this thread
      3. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 5 Apr 2020

        Now daily new cases: • Tens of thousands of new cases per day in the US due to simultaneous outbreaks in many states. The price of no national lockdown. • France, Germany, Italy and Spain seeing new cases plateau or begin to dip • Japan’s delayed outbreak acceleratingpic.twitter.com/bDegWO7tMr

        30 replies 571 retweets 792 likes
        Show this thread
      4. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 5 Apr 2020

        Cases in cumulative form: • Y-axis extended to 500k to accommodate the US, which is now unquestionably the global centre of coronavirus • Australia and Ireland = Anglophone countries on flatter curves • Brazil still tracking UK ⚠️pic.twitter.com/e78HYHRSB5

        44 replies 577 retweets 1,130 likes
        Show this thread
      5. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 5 Apr 2020

        Now subnational region daily deaths: • NY now has more daily deaths than Lombardy recorded at its peak, but it’s taken 3 fewer weeks to get there, and is still rising 📈 • NJ about to pass Lombardy’s trajectory • Daily death toll in London still rising each daypic.twitter.com/DM3xk9VDcD

        22 replies 327 retweets 463 likes
        Show this thread
      6. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 5 Apr 2020

        Subnational death tolls cumulatively: • NY approaching 5k deaths, and on a much steeper curve than Lombardy at the same stage. Almost certain to pass Lombardy and see the world’s highest subnational death toll All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest …pic.twitter.com/SQkQ8oqujq

        12 replies 195 retweets 320 likes
        Show this thread
      7. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 5 Apr 2020

        Now our newest chart: small multiples of daily deaths in subnational regions: • We’ve added lines for England, Scotland & Wales (N.Ireland to come). England by far the steepest of the UK countries, followed by Scotland • London’s death toll still rising faster than Wuhan’s didpic.twitter.com/TwJQegVUdP

        20 replies 146 retweets 298 likes
        Show this thread
      8. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 5 Apr 2020

        Small multiples for daily new deaths in 41 countries: • Algeria on a very steep curve ⚠️ • Portugal’s acceleration slowing • Sweden still tracking China • Ireland on a shallower curve than UK All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest …pic.twitter.com/mxSvNfw8tU

        14 replies 181 retweets 323 likes
        Show this thread
      9. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 5 Apr 2020

        Finally, small multiples for daily cases in 63 countries: • Sweden v Norway still instructive. Norway locked down & new cases falling, Sweden didn’t & each day brings more new infections • New cases in New Zealand are flat Live versions of all charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest …pic.twitter.com/qfmRX7dRC9

        33 replies 240 retweets 423 likes
        Show this thread
      10. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 5 Apr 2020

        Things to note: • The data is noisy & subject to all sorts of tricky caveats • e.g most countries reporting deaths in hospital. Many deaths occur in nursing homes etc; we hope to add these in future • Point being: watch for general trends. Focus on slopes, not specific numbers

        6 replies 68 retweets 339 likes
        Show this thread
      11. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 5 Apr 2020

        John Burn-Murdoch Retweeted

        Here’s a video where I explain why we’re using log scales, showing absolute numbers instead of per capita, and much more: https://twitter.com/janinegibson/status/1244519429825802240 …

        John Burn-Murdoch added,

        This Tweet is unavailable.
        6 replies 88 retweets 310 likes
        Show this thread
      12. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 5 Apr 2020

        John Burn-Murdoch Retweeted John Burn-Murdoch

        And a chart showing why we're using absolute numbers rather than population-adjusted rates:https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1244380095164420101 …

        John Burn-Murdoch added,

        John Burn-MurdochVerified account @jburnmurdoch
        A quick chart for those who keep asking for per-capita adjustment: Here’s population vs total death toll one week after 10th death. No relationship. As I’ve been saying, population does not affect pace of spread. All per-capita figures do is make smaller countries look worse. pic.twitter.com/yWsa4YNNxI
        Show this thread
        9 replies 35 retweets 132 likes
        Show this thread
      13. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 5 Apr 2020

        John Burn-Murdoch Retweeted John Burn-Murdoch

        Analysis of Chinese movie box office revenues shows that lockdowns won’t be lifted overnight, and life may take many months to return to normal. Restrictions will be released bit by bit, only to be reinstated wholly or in part as infections pick up againhttps://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1246135176461254657 …

        John Burn-Murdoch added,

        John Burn-MurdochVerified account @jburnmurdoch
        One more new chart thread today: A cautionary tale for those who think lockdowns will end overnight and life will go straight back to normal. Movie theatres were told to close when China’s outbreak began, with admissions dropping from millions to a trickle overnight. pic.twitter.com/7nr5FTgIPl
        Show this thread
        1 reply 40 retweets 109 likes
        Show this thread
      14. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 5 Apr 2020

        John Burn-Murdoch Retweeted John Burn-Murdoch

        And @google data shows that people in the US are still out and about much more than their counterparts in several European countries:https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1246123616040779776 …

        John Burn-Murdoch added,

        John Burn-MurdochVerified account @jburnmurdoch
        NEW: in the @10DowningStreet press conference, a slide showed Britons adhering to lockdown by staying home. I’ve got the same @Google source data, and people in UK & US are still out and about much more than elsewhere... (and no, I’m not a cop 🚨) More: https://www.ft.com/content/ba60772b-0bd3-3fdd-9b77-20dd8fcdcbef … pic.twitter.com/y7R3pURoGN
        Show this thread
        12 replies 125 retweets 228 likes
        Show this thread
      15. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 5 Apr 2020

        Please email coronavirus-data@ft.com with feedback, requests & subnational data. All of these are invaluable, and we continue to incorporate your suggestions and data every day. We’ll keep getting back to as many people as possible. Wishing you all restful Sunday nights :-)

        14 replies 21 retweets 149 likes
        Show this thread
      16. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 5 Apr 2020

        We implemented lots of reader suggestions today: • Labeled Ireland • Added lines for England, Wales & Scotland • Added lots more countries to the small multiples • Reinstated Iran’s line Keep those suggestions coming to coronavirus-data@ft.com: we’re listening 🗣👂👍

        74 replies 40 retweets 549 likes
        Show this thread
      17. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch 5 Apr 2020

        Oh and almost forgot, today's chart-fuel was spaghetti alla ragu. Best ragu we've made yet 👌pic.twitter.com/F1RW2EWwNv

        69 replies 33 retweets 1,190 likes
        Show this thread
      18. End of conversation

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