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jburnmurdoch's profile
John Burn-Murdoch
John Burn-Murdoch
John Burn-Murdoch
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@jburnmurdoch

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John Burn-MurdochVerified account

@jburnmurdoch

Stories, stats & scatterplots for @FinancialTimes | Daily updates of the coronavirus trajectory tracker | john.burn-murdoch@ft.com | #dataviz

Doncaster  ➡️ London
ft.com/jbm
Joined June 2009

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    John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch Apr 5

    NEW: Sun 5 April update of coronavirus trajectories Daily new deaths: • US now recording more daily deaths than any country in the world since outbreaks began • UK still on similar path to Italy, suggesting ~2 weeks from peak daily deaths Live charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest …pic.twitter.com/tThapcE7NE

    1:52 PM - 5 Apr 2020
    • 3,322 Retweets
    • 5,138 Likes
    • 𝐉𝐢𝐦 𝐇𝐚𝐰𝐤𝐢𝐧𝐬 Αλέξανδρος Δ. Δρακάτος かわしょ Marcus Hazell domenicleo1 FuKyowaon chocco Nikolaj T. Alessandro Gas
    289 replies 3,322 retweets 5,138 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch Apr 5

        How does that look cumulatively? • US death toll has now passed Italy’s, and is on a much steeper slope than Italy was at this stage • US could have the highest total death toll globally within a week All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest …pic.twitter.com/KrdsGVYP6C

        57 replies 708 retweets 1,152 likes
        Show this thread
      3. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch Apr 5

        Now daily new cases: • Tens of thousands of new cases per day in the US due to simultaneous outbreaks in many states. The price of no national lockdown. • France, Germany, Italy and Spain seeing new cases plateau or begin to dip • Japan’s delayed outbreak acceleratingpic.twitter.com/bDegWO7tMr

        30 replies 591 retweets 806 likes
        Show this thread
      4. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch Apr 5

        Cases in cumulative form: • Y-axis extended to 500k to accommodate the US, which is now unquestionably the global centre of coronavirus • Australia and Ireland = Anglophone countries on flatter curves • Brazil still tracking UK ⚠️pic.twitter.com/e78HYHRSB5

        49 replies 602 retweets 1,161 likes
        Show this thread
      5. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch Apr 5

        Now subnational region daily deaths: • NY now has more daily deaths than Lombardy recorded at its peak, but it’s taken 3 fewer weeks to get there, and is still rising 📈 • NJ about to pass Lombardy’s trajectory • Daily death toll in London still rising each daypic.twitter.com/DM3xk9VDcD

        23 replies 344 retweets 465 likes
        Show this thread
      6. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch Apr 5

        Subnational death tolls cumulatively: • NY approaching 5k deaths, and on a much steeper curve than Lombardy at the same stage. Almost certain to pass Lombardy and see the world’s highest subnational death toll All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest …pic.twitter.com/SQkQ8oqujq

        13 replies 208 retweets 325 likes
        Show this thread
      7. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch Apr 5

        Now our newest chart: small multiples of daily deaths in subnational regions: • We’ve added lines for England, Scotland & Wales (N.Ireland to come). England by far the steepest of the UK countries, followed by Scotland • London’s death toll still rising faster than Wuhan’s didpic.twitter.com/TwJQegVUdP

        23 replies 149 retweets 302 likes
        Show this thread
      8. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch Apr 5

        Small multiples for daily new deaths in 41 countries: • Algeria on a very steep curve ⚠️ • Portugal’s acceleration slowing • Sweden still tracking China • Ireland on a shallower curve than UK All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest …pic.twitter.com/mxSvNfw8tU

        15 replies 185 retweets 324 likes
        Show this thread
      9. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch Apr 5

        Finally, small multiples for daily cases in 63 countries: • Sweden v Norway still instructive. Norway locked down & new cases falling, Sweden didn’t & each day brings more new infections • New cases in New Zealand are flat Live versions of all charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest …pic.twitter.com/qfmRX7dRC9

        34 replies 250 retweets 428 likes
        Show this thread
      10. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch Apr 5

        Things to note: • The data is noisy & subject to all sorts of tricky caveats • e.g most countries reporting deaths in hospital. Many deaths occur in nursing homes etc; we hope to add these in future • Point being: watch for general trends. Focus on slopes, not specific numbers

        6 replies 69 retweets 341 likes
        Show this thread
      11. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch Apr 5

        John Burn-Murdoch Retweeted

        Here’s a video where I explain why we’re using log scales, showing absolute numbers instead of per capita, and much more: https://twitter.com/janinegibson/status/1244519429825802240 …

        John Burn-Murdoch added,

        This Tweet is unavailable.
        7 replies 90 retweets 313 likes
        Show this thread
      12. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch Apr 5

        John Burn-Murdoch Retweeted John Burn-Murdoch

        And a chart showing why we're using absolute numbers rather than population-adjusted rates:https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1244380095164420101 …

        John Burn-Murdoch added,

        John Burn-MurdochVerified account @jburnmurdoch
        A quick chart for those who keep asking for per-capita adjustment: Here’s population vs total death toll one week after 10th death. No relationship. As I’ve been saying, population does not affect pace of spread. All per-capita figures do is make smaller countries look worse. pic.twitter.com/yWsa4YNNxI
        Show this thread
        11 replies 36 retweets 133 likes
        Show this thread
      13. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch Apr 5

        John Burn-Murdoch Retweeted John Burn-Murdoch

        Analysis of Chinese movie box office revenues shows that lockdowns won’t be lifted overnight, and life may take many months to return to normal. Restrictions will be released bit by bit, only to be reinstated wholly or in part as infections pick up againhttps://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1246135176461254657 …

        John Burn-Murdoch added,

        John Burn-MurdochVerified account @jburnmurdoch
        One more new chart thread today: A cautionary tale for those who think lockdowns will end overnight and life will go straight back to normal. Movie theatres were told to close when China’s outbreak began, with admissions dropping from millions to a trickle overnight. pic.twitter.com/7nr5FTgIPl
        Show this thread
        1 reply 43 retweets 110 likes
        Show this thread
      14. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch Apr 5

        John Burn-Murdoch Retweeted John Burn-Murdoch

        And @google data shows that people in the US are still out and about much more than their counterparts in several European countries:https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1246123616040779776 …

        John Burn-Murdoch added,

        John Burn-MurdochVerified account @jburnmurdoch
        NEW: in the @10DowningStreet press conference, a slide showed Britons adhering to lockdown by staying home. I’ve got the same @Google source data, and people in UK & US are still out and about much more than elsewhere... (and no, I’m not a cop 🚨) More: https://www.ft.com/content/ba60772b-0bd3-3fdd-9b77-20dd8fcdcbef … pic.twitter.com/y7R3pURoGN
        Show this thread
        12 replies 131 retweets 232 likes
        Show this thread
      15. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch Apr 5

        Please email coronavirus-data@ft.com with feedback, requests & subnational data. All of these are invaluable, and we continue to incorporate your suggestions and data every day. We’ll keep getting back to as many people as possible. Wishing you all restful Sunday nights :-)

        14 replies 21 retweets 153 likes
        Show this thread
      16. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch Apr 5

        We implemented lots of reader suggestions today: • Labeled Ireland • Added lines for England, Wales & Scotland • Added lots more countries to the small multiples • Reinstated Iran’s line Keep those suggestions coming to coronavirus-data@ft.com: we’re listening 🗣👂👍

        76 replies 42 retweets 571 likes
        Show this thread
      17. John Burn-Murdoch‏Verified account @jburnmurdoch Apr 5

        Oh and almost forgot, today's chart-fuel was spaghetti alla ragu. Best ragu we've made yet 👌pic.twitter.com/F1RW2EWwNv

        72 replies 33 retweets 1,220 likes
        Show this thread
      18. End of conversation

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