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John Burn-Murdoch
@jburnmurdoch
Columnist | Stories, stats & scatterplots | Senior fellow | john.burn-murdoch@ft.com | Mastodon: jburnmurdoch@econtwitter.net
Doncaster ➡️ Londonft.com/jbmJoined June 2009

John Burn-Murdoch’s Tweets

German public opinion on allowing its tanks to be sent to Ukraine is striking: 75% of Green voters back sending tanks, vs just 6% of AfD. Really shows how the Greens have embraced pragmatism (see also agreeing to keep nuclear pants open), while AfD captured by pro-Russian nuts.
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We've just launched a major report: between 2018 and 2020, almost 400,000 people earning less than £13k received a penalty for filing a tax return late. Very few had any tax to pay. But they were fined at least £100, and often thousands of pounds.
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I’m trying to come at this with a blank slate on SF, so I’m as interested in examples of new and interesting solutions as I am in what has gone or is going wrong. Whether under-discussed, misunderstood or glaringly and horrifyingly obvious, I’m all ears 👂
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Hey folks, I’m in San Francisco this week, and would love to chat to people for a couple pieces I’m working on. If you work in housing, inequality, homelessness, or any other area you think I should be exploring, please get in touch! DMs open, or john.burn-murdoch@ft.com 🙏
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This looks like a pretty fantastic job for any data nerds who want to work alongside brilliant colleagues for a vitally important organisation that does genuine good 👇
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We're hiring! We are looking for a new Data Scientist to join our Data & Research team. They will contribute to the whole chain of collection, transformation, documentation, and dissemination of data on the many topics that we cover on Our World in Data. ourworldindata.org/data-scientist
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Hey folks, random Sunday question: I’m getting married this June, and we’re still on the hunt for a London-based wedding photographer. Preferably affordable (lol). If you are one, or have any recommendations, my DMs are open and I would be immensely grateful 😅🙏
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Replying to
Few years back I spent a day in Woodhall Spa, which must be the most intensely English place in the country. Met a chap whose daily attire was khaki head-to-toe, and told me about his time in “Rhodesia”. I felt as foreign there as I have done in many foreign countries.
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This is the most informative analysis of UK excess deaths out there at the moment. And is certainly worth following for all things excess mortality related, whether the UK or elsewhere.
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The 2022 death data for England and Wales is now complete What stands out is that deaths excl covid are fully in line with those expected from - Population evolution expected by ONS - Historic trends of mortality rates by age But covid is not the only factor as you will see⤵️
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Updates: US flu trends: sharply down. US RSV hospitalizations: sharply down. US Monkeypox: close to zero. Same in Europe. Remember the claims that widespread post-COVID immunodeficiency had caused their earlier rises? If that were true, cases would have to be going up and up.
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See here for an illuminating discussion between & about how the different political party systems in the Anglosphere and Europe constrain the choices available to Millennials, and how that shapes how preferences change over time
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Replying to @OwenWntr and @jburnmurdoch
Indeed! Adapting the argument, PR also enables voters to combine social liberalism with economic conservatism, but in Anglo-Saxon FPP or AV systems where the dominant right wing party is now socially and economically conservative they can't easily have this combo.
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If the only pro-redistribution parties in Europe were all stridently progressive, and the economic right was always the cultural right, I suspect we’d see similar (albeit probably less pronounced) patterns in non-Anglo countries.
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When you think about it, the phenomenon — American-style progressive youth culture being much more pronounced in Anglosphere countries — is almost certainly related to political party landscapes.
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Another good follow-up on Anglophone Millennial exceptionalism, this time by I think it’s *slightly* overstated because a lot of Anglo/Euro diff can be explained by multi-party vs 2-party systems, but I’m sure phenomenon described is real
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Not only survived but thrived on a cramped 12 hour flight by sticking to the three golden rules of air travel: • Bring your own food (so you decide both when and what) • Cabin baggage only (speedy exit on other end) • Take your shoes off on the flight (instant 10x comfort)
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Another fantastic follow-up piece on what may be driving the growing generation-divides in British politics. Really worth clicking through to the full post.
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Following up on @jburnmurdoch's excellent piece on generational political divides, my new Substack post does a deep dive into generational differences in British politics. 1/n benansell.substack.com/p/generation-g
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Without digging deeper into the data, to me this suggests the culture war politics of the last few years (predominantly an Anglophone phenomenon, actively disdained by many European countries) may be playing a bigger role than economics (similar experience in most countries).
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