Good. I like being afraid. VERY afraid.
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We here about a Biden blowout all the time. In fact, it was all we talked about in June and July. The “could this be a 2008 size wave” stories were there.
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always assume Trump will run away with it and act accordingly
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I think that’s because the swing states’ demographics are skewed a bit against Biden. So we assume he can’t really win them all, but I agree that’s wrong.
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It’s also possible that the swing states are actually perfect for Biden, as they were for Obama, and are skewed against the Hillary Clintons, Mitt Romneys, John Kerry of the world
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on the other hand, 2020
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Biden winning by more than 8 points is not a “similarly likely scenario” to Trump closing and winning. I’m sorry, in 2020 the biggest Prez win available to any candidate is something like 53/45. Double digit wins are virtually impossible due to negative partisanship.
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I still believe the iron clad law of 21st century Prez elections is “both candidates start with 45%. The other 10% decide the winner.”
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