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jbarro's profile
Josh Barro
Josh Barro
Josh Barro
Verified account
@jbarro

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Josh BarroVerified account

@jbarro

Columnist for Insider. Host of KCRW's Left, Right & Center & cohost w/ @popehat of All the President's Lawyers. Instagram: @ joshbarro

New York, New York
Joined September 2008

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    Josh Barro‏Verified account @jbarro 28 Aug 2020

    Josh Barro Retweeted Kyle Kondik

    I’m not saying Biden’s going to win a blowout, but people spend a lot of time thinking about how Trump could close the gap and win, and not a lot of time thinking about similarly-likely scenarios where Biden wins by a lot more than polls say now.https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/1299411755802800128 …

    Josh Barro added,

    Kyle KondikVerified account @kkondik
    To Dave's point, arguably the most encouraging polling for Biden is this granular House-level data. Much of what has been publicly released is Democratic, but there is some GOP stuff we've heard about that seems similar at prez level. https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1299389870327115776 …
    11:38 AM - 28 Aug 2020
    • 133 Retweets
    • 1,009 Likes
    • Daniel Curran lucas londoño echava Ross Valerie Witte I Like Ike Redstone Phoenix Dorothy Schomburg Apple Grower Nancy Hilliard
    207 replies 133 retweets 1,009 likes
      1. The Humorist‏ @TheeHumorist 28 Aug 2020
        Replying to @jbarro

        Good. I like being afraid. VERY afraid.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Justin Lucas‏ @LucasRJustin 28 Aug 2020
        Replying to @jbarro

        We here about a Biden blowout all the time. In fact, it was all we talked about in June and July. The “could this be a 2008 size wave” stories were there.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. New conversation
      2. Minister of Silly Walks  🌊‏ @TrumpZombieCult 28 Aug 2020
        Replying to @jbarro

        always assume Trump will run away with it and act accordingly

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Josh Hunt‏ @Bouje99 28 Aug 2020
        Replying to @jbarro

        I think that’s because the swing states’ demographics are skewed a bit against Biden. So we assume he can’t really win them all, but I agree that’s wrong.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Noman‏ @itnor1 28 Aug 2020
        Replying to @Bouje99 @jbarro

        It’s also possible that the swing states are actually perfect for Biden, as they were for Obama, and are skewed against the Hillary Clintons, Mitt Romneys, John Kerry of the world

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. ThousandIslandVaccineHat‏ @Popehat 28 Aug 2020
        Replying to @jbarro

        on the other hand, 2020

        11 replies 1 retweet 237 likes
      3. ᴀʀᴛ  🇺🇸‏ @__Arthur_Dent__ 28 Aug 2020
        Replying to @Popehat @jbarro

        The 2016 groundhogpic.twitter.com/aHI51GkIjs

        0 replies 1 retweet 9 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Bolus of Gubbins‏ @jeffayc 28 Aug 2020
        Replying to @jbarro

        Biden winning by more than 8 points is not a “similarly likely scenario” to Trump closing and winning. I’m sorry, in 2020 the biggest Prez win available to any candidate is something like 53/45. Double digit wins are virtually impossible due to negative partisanship.

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. Bolus of Gubbins‏ @jeffayc 28 Aug 2020
        Replying to @jeffayc @jbarro

        I still believe the iron clad law of 21st century Prez elections is “both candidates start with 45%. The other 10% decide the winner.”

        0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      4. End of conversation

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