Reminds me of the simulations in the Arcidiacono, Khwaja, & Ouyang habit persistence paper that predicted making condoms more attractive for teens would increase pregnancy rates.
Really important paper here. Among other things, it highlights the importance of evaluating policies even when we might have strong priors about what we expect to find.https://twitter.com/Kasey_Buckles/status/1052722205560320003 …
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