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Jason Furman Retweeted
Thread (1/14) on new paper explaining pvt sector union decline w/
@LaneWindham and Lynn Rhinehart. Retweet don't just like!@EconomicPolicy@GeorgetownKILWPhttps://www.epi.org/unequalpower/publications/private-sector-unions-corporate-legal-erosion/ …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Jason Furman Retweeted
From
@WSJopinion: Absent policy changes, insurgents are unlikely to overturn Big Tech incumbents. The lack of competition is costly, writes@jasonfurman.https://on.wsj.com/39Xui27Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Jason Furman Retweeted
HKS's
@jasonfurman believes the digital economy should have a code of conduct that enhances competition and encourages innovationhttps://ken.sc/3qKSLxGThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Jason Furman Retweeted
Absent policy changes, insurgents are unlikely to overturn Big Tech incumbents. The lack of competition is costly, writes
@jasonfurmanhttps://on.wsj.com/372OhdVThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Today's lawsuit against Facebook is a great step, but we'll also need pro-competition regulation. The UK provides a model, we should follow their lead. My latest
@WSJopinion touting the UK's Digital Markets Unit (disclosure: follows my recommendations).https://www.wsj.com/articles/tech-giants-and-social-media-need-smart-regulation-11607555833?mod=opinion_lead_pos11 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Excellent thread on the government's lawsuits against Facebook and Google. There is nothing illegal about being a monopoly (noun), but monopolization (verb) is illegal and that is what these lawsuits are about.https://twitter.com/ThomasPHI2/status/1336794003015168007 …
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The FTC's monopolization case against Facebook is a bold and welcome use of government's monopolization enforcement. The government should have been much more skeptical about Facebook's monopoly-preserving and extending mergers to begin with but better late than never.
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Jason Furman RetweetedThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Jason Furman Retweeted
Prof Jason Furman
@jasonfurman from Harvard University says at the 2nd Bund Summit that neither China nor the US will win the race for artificial intelligence: http://www.cf40.com/en/news_detail/11419.html … It’s been a fashionable debate in recent years as to who is going win the race for#AI...1/6Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Jason Furman Retweeted
Agree completely that fiscal policy makers need to do way more to think through macro policy in low rates era. Key issue for me is how to coordinate fiscal and monetary policies while maintaining central bank independence.https://twitter.com/jasonfurman/status/1334943473141772288 …
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Fiscal policymakers are far, far behind central bankers in reconsidering macroeconomic policy in an era of low interest rates. You can argue over whether central bankers have moved far enough, but at least they have indisputably moved.
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Whenever possible I outsource my housing policy views to some combination of Ingrid Gould Ellen, Amy Ganz and Katherine O’Regan. Excited to see their permanent proposal to prevent evictions through emergency rental assistance.https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/12/03/how-save-thousands-americans-losing-their-homes/ …
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A nice valedictory post from
@econjared in The Washington Post, a lot of Jarednonmics in this most of which is highly correlated with Bidennomics.https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/12/03/im-joining-bidens-economics-team-heres-some-what-ill-be-thinking-about/ …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Jason Furman Retweeted
By
@jasonfurman's calculation, the "realistic" unemployment rate -- which adjusts for the unusual decline in participation -- is 8.5%, and is *rising*.https://twitter.com/jasonfurman/status/1334860207760023552 …
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Jason Furman Retweeted
The unemployment rate edged down to 6.7%, but for the “wrong” reasons as 400k people left the labor force. The number of workers unemployed 27 weeks or more shot up to 3.9 million in November. Now, over one-third (36.9%) of the total unemployed are long-term unemployed.pic.twitter.com/xJIVhhOd85
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My monthly blog with Willie Powell analyzes the November jobs numbers. Key point: even as the headline unemployment rate fell the underlying realistic and full recall rates rose. These are better measures of where we are now and where we might go.https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economic-issues-watch/us-unemployment-situation-worsens-november …
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The *entire* progress in labor markets since the April low has been a redn in unemployed on temporary layoff as people went back to their old jobs. Unemployed not on temporary layoff has risen. This will be a headwind for further progress on the 11m jobs short of trend.pic.twitter.com/Y1G0I3NMKK
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In other words, the labor market got a little bit worse in November. And December likely to be even worse. There is a lot of light in 2021 but going into the year with a growing number of people permanently having lost their jobs is concerning.
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The realistic UR adjusts for a misclassification error & the unusually large decline in participation. The full recall UR assumes that everyone on temporary layoff goes back to jobs. It is *higher* than the regular because in that case people would also re-enter the workforce.
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The unemployment rate fell from 6.9% to 6.7% in November. BUT... labor force participation fell so the employment rate fell. My measure of the "realistic" unemployment rate actually rose. And the "full recall" unemployment rate rose. Blog coming, a little on this now.pic.twitter.com/SbgA9VQorB
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