Seems to me that kids choosing a major in school are doing so based on current events (t = 0) and the advice of elders (t = -10 to -20 years), when it should be based on long-term future opportunities (t = +10 to +20 years)
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Obviously we can't predict future opportunities decades out in much detail or with high confidence, but shouldn't we be trying harder? Are we basically placing the future in the hands of high school guidance counselors?
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If you wanted to reach the top ~10% of high school students in their junior and senior years in order to give them advice about how to manage their careers, how could you do it? Who or what has their attention, where a serious message would fit?
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Does, say, someone like
@pmarca have the clout to pull this off if he wanted to? Is anyone with good advice to give people age ~16–20 trying to do so?Prikaži ovu nit -
~30 years (if this speculation is correct) is a long lag time from discovering an opportunity to training a generation for it.
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The problem: it is so hard to estimate longterm opportunities. Many high paying jobs today did not exist 20 years ago.
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Sure, but we could at least try harder. Gotta be some way to predict this better than just being stuck in the past.
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Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.
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