Peter Bernstein, *Against the Gods*
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It's a “history of risk”, does it cover science and experiments?
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Have a look at ‘The Theory That Would Not Die’ by Sharon Bertsch Mcgrayne - it’s about Bayes’ Rule.
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Hard to fully grasp what you’re looking for based off a single tweet, but it might be worth considering: - Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk - Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds
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Beinhocker, The Origin of Wealth
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@nntaleb’s work, particularly in Fooled by Randomness, deals with the randomness in finance and philosophy of science a-la Karl Popper. I know he’s controversial, and Incerto is more natural philosophy than history.https://www.amazon.com/dp/0812975219/ref=cm_sw_r_cp_api_i_TlKnEbDSZ4X2V …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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No single text comes to mind though David Hume and John Snow come to mind as people working on somewhat related problems in early to mid 19th century.
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As many others have already suggested, Peter Bernstein “Against the Gods” looks like a definitive history of probability theory for non-mathematicians. It looks like for a long time probabilities were much more interesting for gamblers and insurers and much less so for scientists
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