If you flip a quarter 4 times and each time it comes up heads, what is the probability that it will come up heads on the 5th flip?
- 50%86.6%
- 3.125%7.8%
- 75%2.6%
- 25%3%
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50% plus whatever chance it is that you actually have a trick coin based on the prior of four heads in a row :P
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