The has issued an aftershock forecast for the M5.8 earthquake near Lone Pine. This forecast gives the probably of earthquakes of different sizes within a specific time frame (like a weather forecast). earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ev
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🔹 The chance of an earthquake of M3+ 98 %.
🔹 The chance of an earthquake of M5+ is 21 %, and it is most likely that as few as 0 or as many as 3 such earthquakes may occur.
🔹The chance of an earthquake of M6 or higher is 3 % (possible but low probability)
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🔹The chance of an earthquake of M7 or higher is 1 in 300, such an earthquake is possible but with a low probability.
Please visit earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ev for details and updates.
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If I remember correctly, the Ridgecrest Earthquake had a foreshock of 6.x and then was followed by a 7.4 (?) a couple days later.
Didn't realize the odds were that low but it does happen. Interesting!