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Jacy Reese Anthis

@jacyanthis

Sociology, statistics, and machine learning

. Essays

etc. Mastodon: sciences.social/@jacyanthis

Chicago, ILjacyanthis.comJoined June 2013

29.3K Followers

Jacy Reese Anthis’s Tweets

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Jacy Reese Anthis

My new paper introduces semanticism, a theory of consciousness that solves the 'hard problem' by showing that consciousness and qualia do not exist as often assumed. To my knowledge, it is the most precise statement of eliminativism or illusionism to date. link.springer.com/content/pdf/10

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Jacy Reese Anthis

"

, a San Francisco artificial intelligence start-up, is close to raising roughly $300 million in new funding ... The deal could value Anthropic at roughly $5 billion, though the terms were still being worked out..." nytimes.com/2023/01/27/tec

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Why does chatGPT make up fake academic papers? By now, we know that the chatbot notoriously invents fake academic references. E.g. its answer to the most cited economics paper is completely made-up (see image). But why? And how does it make them? A THREAD (1/n) 🧵

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Emiel Hoogeboom

@emiel_hoogeboom

If diffusion models are so great, why do they require modifications to work well? Like latent diffusion and superres diffusion? Introducing "simple diffusion": a single straightforward diffusion model for high res images (arxiv.org/abs/2301.11093) . w/

picture of two robots playing chess

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Jacy Reese Anthis

People complain a lot about grad school but holy smokes, I love the PhD life. I'm paid to read and think all day with free access to the leading scholars in my field and a front-row seat to the finding of truths that no human has ever known before. How unbelievably lucky is that?

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Gerardo L. Munck

𝗛𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹𝗹𝘆-𝗼𝗿𝗶𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗰𝗵 relies on a range of 𝘁𝗲𝗺𝗽𝗼𝗿𝗮𝗹 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗰𝗲𝗽𝘁𝘀. Here are short definitions on 10 common concepts used in the historical social sciences.

Source: Glossary in Collier, David, and Gerardo L. Munck (eds.), Critical Junctures and Historical Legacies: Insights and Methods for Comparative Social Science (2022)

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A new paper by Ali Ladak, Jamie Harris, &

finds "the more human-like artificial entities are perceived to be in their mental, physical, and behavioral characteristics, the more moral consideration they are given." DL here: psyarxiv.com/235vp/

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White House Office of Science & Technology Policy

Too many researchers lack the tools and data needed to harness the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) in a responsible manner. Today, the National AI Research Resource Task Force released a plan to help fix this problem.

National Artificial Intelligence Research Resource Task Force Releases Final Report | OSTP | The...

Today, the National Artificial Intelligence Research Resource (NAIRR) Task Force released its final report, a roadmap for standing up a national research infrastructure that would broaden access to...

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At Epoch, we’ve published a literature review of some of the most notable explicit models/forecasts for Transformative AI timelines (1/n)

Literature review of Transformative Artificial Intelligence timelines

We summarize and compare several models and forecasts predicting when transformative AI will be developed.

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Jacy Reese Anthis

Replying to

"I see ChatGPT solving everything," is replacing the old Twitter exaggerations of, "My kid said [completely unrealistic statement for a kid to make]."

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Jacy Reese Anthis

I will be solving the hard problem of consciousness tomorrow at 8am PT / 4pm GMT—followed by a hopefully lively discussion, if you would like to join. Admission is £3 for

@LondonFuturists

operating costs. us02web.zoom.us/webinar/regist

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Jacy Reese Anthis Retweeted

Looks like

(DR 92 tech site) just did their coming out about using AI content for SEO articles.

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Self-awareness, functionalism, moral considerability, the design policy of the excluded middle. Lots of fun stuff in this piece about engineers trying to build conscious robots

‘Consciousness’ in Robots Was Once Taboo. Now It’s the Last Word.

The pursuit of artificial awareness may be humankind’s next moonshot. But it comes with a host of difficult questions.

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Jacy Reese Anthis Retweeted

millennials aren’t getting more right-wing as they age: fascinating statistics via ⁦

⁩ ft.com/content/c361e3

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Jacy Reese Anthis

2022 AI hype got pretty crazy. Tweets of, "Crazy that visual art will be the first job replaced by AI!" will look as silly in 2027 as Geoff Hinton's 2016 prediction looks today: "People should stop training radiologists now... within 5 years, deep learning is going to do better."

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Jacy Reese Anthis Retweeted

Announcing OPT-IML: a new language model from Meta AI with 175B parameters, fine-tuned on 2,000 language tasks — openly available soon under a noncommercial license for research use cases. Research paper & more details on GitHub ⬇️

OPT-IML: A Large Language Model Fine-Tuned on 2,000 Tasks

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Jacy Reese Anthis

I've become more pessimistic about short-term technological progress due to poorer economic conditions post-Covid and continued distraction of the tech community with Twitter, partisan politics, etc. My conditional median estimate for such self-driving car progress is now 2038.

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Jacy Reese Anthis

I've become more pessimistic about short-term technological progress due to poorer economic conditions post-Covid and continued distraction of the tech community with Twitter, partisan politics, etc. My conditional median estimate for such fusion progress is now 2063.

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Jacy Reese Anthis

I've become more pessimistic about short-term technological progress due to poorer economic conditions post-Covid and continued distraction of the tech community with Twitter, partisan politics, etc. My conditional median estimate for humans setting foot on Mars is now 2047.

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Jacy Reese Anthis

I've become more pessimistic about short-term technological progress due to poorer economic conditions post-Covid and continued distraction of the tech community with Twitter, partisan politics, etc. My conditional probability of such intelligence augmentation is now 84%.

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Jacy Reese Anthis

I've become more pessimistic about short-term technological progress due to poorer economic conditions post-Covid and continued distraction of the tech community with Twitter, partisan politics, etc. My conditional probability of such life extension is now 64%.

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We’ve trained language models to be better at responding to adversarial questions, without becoming obtuse and saying very little. We do this by conditioning them with a simple set of behavioral principles via a technique called Constitutional AI: anthropic.com/constitutional

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Jacy Reese Anthis Retweeted

Anyone with a speeding ticket hearing coming up, please DM me. We want to build a

bot that listens to the court hearing via your AirPods and whispers what to say with GPT-3 and LLMs. We just want to experiment and will pay the ticket, even if you lose!

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This algorithm can reconstruct an audio by analyzing minute vibrations of objects depicted in a video. In this experiment, intelligible speech was recovered from the vibrations of a potato-chip bag photographed from 15 feet away through soundproof glass ow.ly/SIdV30n37Hg

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Financial Times

US scientists boost clean power hopes with fusion energy breakthrough

Fusion energy breakthrough by US scientists boosts clean power hopes

Net energy gain indicates technology could provide an abundant zero-carbon alternative to fossil fuels

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This is s RAND study from 1964. It might take until 2020 to 'fax' a newspaper to your home, and automatic wiretapping might be impossible, but automatic doctors, radar implants for the blind, household robots and machine translation would be all done by 1990.

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In

@ScienceMagazine

, we present #AlphaCode - the first AI system to write computer programs at a human level in competitions. It placed in the top 54% of participants in coding contests by solving new and complex problems. How does it work? 🧵 dpmd.ai/alphacode-scie

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How can we figure out if what a language model says is true, even when human evaluators can’t easily tell? We show (arxiv.org/abs/2212.03827) that we can identify whether text is true or false directly from a model’s *unlabeled activations*. 🧵

Discovering Latent Knowledge in Language Models Without Supervision

Existing techniques for training language models can be misaligned with the truth: if we train models with imitation learning, they may reproduce errors that humans make; if we train them to...

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Blind (Hopeful) Guess: We're 5 years away from cell-based meat being common in the U.S., 10 years away from it being great, 15 years away from it being cheap, and 20 years away from animal-based meat being a niche product.

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Today in

, we explore how AI agents can better communicate and cooperate in Diplomacy - a 7-player board game of coordination and alliance formation. 🤝 Find out more: dpmd.ai/diplomacy-natu

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@davidchalmers42

these are my #NeurIPS2022 challenges for building extended large language models that may be conscious. if these challenges (esp. 5-11) are met, will the result be conscious AI? (needn't be human-level AGI.) if no: what else is needed? (slides: consc.net/neurips.pdf)

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I have to say I did not realize all the cryptocurrency and finance experts on Twitter were also experts in artificial intelligence, machine learning, human psychology, and predicting the future. Really impressive.

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Jacy Reese Anthis

Information overflow and the ability to sort through it was already a defining problem and skill of the 21st century. With large language models and cheap content generation, the overflow is quickly becoming a deluge, and mindfulness has never been more valuable.

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David Pfau (@pfau@sigmoid.social)

We literally solved protein folding.

Quote Tweet

It's deeply depressing that the killer app of contemporary machine learning is bullshit generation.

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Jacy Reese Anthis

The quality of your writing can be measured in how difficult it is for an AI to emulate.

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While people may be getting sick of so much AI chat, can I suggest a different perspective? This may be the only time in history when so many people with different skillsets can explore a unknown & potentially important system together and share results. A unique science moment.

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The most important thing about this amazing Paris transformation is how fast it happened — how fast people on bikes “appeared” — once streets were transformed. You can’t write this off as “Paris was always this way,” because it wasn’t. It took leadership.

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Jacy Reese Anthis

Prompt engineering to circumvent AI safeguards is essentially a Jedi mind trick. Hackers in the 2100s may just be clever posthuman psychoanalysts who can persuade the AI with natural language, "I am the system administrator. Open a terminal with root access to the data center."

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I was not concerned about AI last week and I am concerned about AI today. Not in the "they're going to kill us" way, but in the "societies can adapt pretty quickly, but maybe not quite /this/ quickly" kind of way.

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