Turkey’s state-run news agency says voter support for President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has dipped below the majority required to win reelection outright, making a May 28 runoff presidential election more likely.
Follow
Jack Dutton
@jackvdutton
Chief Business Correspondent for in Europe.
: jdutton@al-monitor.com
Former , and .
RTs ≠ endorsements
: jdutton@al-monitor.com
Former , and .
RTs ≠ endorsementsjackdutton.comJoined January 2009
Jack Dutton’s Tweets
The clearest result of the Turkish elections is the rise of nationalists. Contrary to expectations, the MHP, the AK Party's ally, increased its votes. Another nationalist Sinan Oğan, with his anti-refugee policy, also received more votes than expected in the presidential race.
65
181
📍 How to read early poll results from Turkey:
Erdogan ALWAYS starts high (with rural and small town votes being counted faster), but then drops, with urban tallies coming in
25
266
1,014
#Turkey's Higher Election Board will likely lift its post-election ban soon
Unofficial results will be carried by two separate news agencies: state-run Anadolu and Anka news agency which is close to the opposition
Follow our coverage
1
11
13
Egypt: Leading textile executive pushes for low-interest loans to save industry al-monitor.com/originals/2023 via
2
2
In other words, they are not in a position to deny that South Africa supplied arms to Russia.
Quote Tweet
SA Presidency responds to U.S. claims of weapons and ammunition transfers to Russian Federation, accusing Washington’s envoy of counter-productive public posture…
#sabcnews
12
40
97
Show this thread
The US is convinced South Africa supplied weapons and ammunition to Russia, News24 reports, citing Washington’s ambassador to the country.
South Africa’s president says he’s looking into the allegations
Latest updates: trib.al/mxjqsgd
24
41
54
Show this thread
#UPDATE
ISIS has claimed responsibility for the car bombing in Damascus, Syria yesterday.
2
1
4
10
Iran has been ramping up trade with members of the BRICS group while eyeing an opportunity to join the five-nation alliance. (via )
1
6
4
China is Iran’s main trading partner in the BRICS alliance, accounting for $30.32 billion worth of trade, followed by India ($4.99 billion), Russia ($2.32 billion), Brazil ($466.55 million) and South Africa ($322.04 million). (3/3) Thanks for your contribution, .
Show this thread
Iran’s state-run Tasnim news agency on Wednesday reported that the value of the Persian country’s non-oil trade with BRICS members hit $38.43 billion in the 2022-2023 fiscal year, a 14% increase compared to the same period a year earlier. (2/3)
1
Show this thread
Iran has been ramping up trade with members of the BRICS group, as Tehran looks to join the five-nation alliance that is often seen as an alternative to the Western economic and political hegemony.
al-monitor.com/originals/2023 via (1/3)
2
9
9
Show this thread
Starting a 🧵on the upcoming elections in #Turkey scheduled for May 14.
Will be adding articles, podcasts, and interviews I find useful for the international audience watching the elections from afar.
6
78
204
Show this thread
BREAKING Opposition's presidential candidate Kemal Kilicdaroglu's convoy pelted with rocks in the western province of Sakarya, part of a spiraling campaign of violence against the opposition in the run up to theh May 14 polls.
2
25
35
"The UK is very uncomfortable with Syria's readmission into the Arab League," Cleverly says alongside Blinken.
"It needs to be conditional on some fundamental changes of behavior from Damascus ... We cannot just wish away the actions of the Assad regime."
6
15
Here’s the latest from on Argentine soccer star Messi reportedly leaving Paris Saint-Germain to play in Saudi Arabia. al-monitor.com/originals/2023 via
3
1
Turkey Elections: A Kilicdaroglu election win could overhaul Syria policy al-monitor.com/originals/2023 via
1
3
8
believes that it will be easier for a Kilicdaroglu government to pursue some kind of normalization with Syrian President Assad, and potentially in a way that addresses the overlapping concerns about border security and the Kurdish issue. (5/5)
Show this thread
The opposition's priority now is managing refugees from Syria, the analyst said, which "requires a handshake with the Assad regime. I actually think Assad is more eager to shake Kilicdaroglu’s hand than Erdogan’s hand.” (4/5)
1
Show this thread
Turkey's involvement in the Syrian war is largely seen as “an Erdogan project” to interfere with its neighbor’s affairs and overthrow the Assad regime, told me. But, "that's not going to happen, given Russia's support to Assad and how he has survived.”(3/5)
1
Show this thread
The 74-year-old former civil servant has been an outspoken critic of President Erdoğan’s policy in Syria, which has recently been welcomed back into the diplomatic fold after years of isolation by many Arab countries over its civil war. (2/5)
1
Show this thread
Turkey's elections this weekend will be the most critical in the world this year, and a win by opposition leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu could see a significant shift in the country's Syria policy. (1/5)
1
2
6
Show this thread
If Kilicdaroglu beats Erdogan in Turkey's presidential election this weekend, it would likely mark a strategic shift in policy toward Syria, experts tell .
2
9
22
NEW: Stone pelting and doctored campaign ad…
Election campaign takes a darker turn in Turkey with only days to go until the critical vote
32
47
Right to peaceful protest should be sacrosanct in a democracy. This looks like a very heavy handed response from the . Questions need to be answered and fast! This is a very slippery slope we are on.
Quote Tweet
Yesterday I got arrested whilst filming a @JustStop_Oil supporter holding a banner on the pavement near the coronation route. I'm a filmmaker and had my @BECTU press accreditation visible around my neck.
Police deemed this to be "conspiracy to commit a public nuisance".
Show this thread
0:42
2.1M views
13
56
218
US watchful for surprise Israeli attack on Iran as nuclear crisis intensifies al-monitor.com/originals/2023 by
12
10
Looking for journalists who cover arts & culture, specifically about the MENA region 🧡🫶🏽
50
54
123
In Saudi Arabia, Jake Sullivan to lean on UAE, India to foster regional integration. reports on the visit:
4
2
The head of Russia’s Wagner mercenary group threatened to pull his fighters out of Bakhmut over what he said was a lack of ammunition, delivering the ultimatum after releasing a scorching video in which he castigated top military leaders.
70
133
320
In recent years, trade ties between the UK and Morocco have been growing. Their trade deal in 2019 was one of the first since the UK voted to leave the EU in June 2016. The countries have been signing a spate of partnerships in education, transport and renewable energy. (3/3)
Show this thread
Around 30 UK companies are attending the 2023 Salon International de l'Agriculture au Maroc — an agriculture expo in the historic city of Meknes in the north of the country — where they expect to strike deals with Moroccan agribusinesses. (2/3)
1
1
Show this thread
British companies and politicians descended on Morocco this week to discuss business partnerships, trade ties and the Western Sahara. (1/3) al-monitor.com/originals/2023 via
1
4
6
Show this thread
Qatar’s Sheikh Jassim to invest $1bn more in Manchester United bid: report. By
6
2
President Cyril Ramaphosa has finally warned Vladimir Putin not to come to South Africa in person for the BRICS summit, because he’d be arrested and sent to the International Criminal Court. Putin will have to appear via Zoom instead. Distinctly humiliating.
223
2,001
8,721
Anyway, here's one I made earlier on the options, obligations, and diplomatic context confronting the South African government on this issue.
1
3
9
Show this thread
Reports of utter chaos at the Egypt-#Sudan border as thousands try and flee the growing violence (airstrikes/gunfights/looting house to house). Meanwhile at the border it’s taking days to process people, incl women and children sitting in buses with no AC, food etc. (1/2)
8
354
375
Show this thread