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With a CFR of two percent, that's 8,000 deaths per day three weeks from today. And two percent may be low in a place like India where oxygen is scarce.
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My rough calculations put the average number of deaths per day in India, from 7.2 per thousand per year, around 27,000. So, somewhere between 25% and 33% overall increase in daily mortality nationwide, for weeks, from what is effectively one event.
