Powerful simple demographic-based regression model points to where the fraud went down, and how big the effect was for those counties. This is basically the answer to people saying "but this other county is just the same as Fulton/Montgomery/Milwaukee and had the same results!"https://twitter.com/DarrenJBeattie/status/1338512935048663040 …
-
-
Replying to @toad_spotted
The biggest issue I see in these analyses is the unspoken assumption that large scale electoral fraud is a new phenomenon for 2020 - e.g. you can use divergences from 2018/2016/2012/2008 metrics to identify where fraud in 2020 took place. I increasingly lean towards the...
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @MetricReject @toad_spotted
...explanation that large chunks of the US urban vote are entirely fictitious going back decades at least, that those areas are already basically "capped" on how many fraudulent votes they can produce (due to structural limitations like total number voters registered in each...
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @MetricReject @toad_spotted
...ward, how many blank ballots can be obtained, etc.) and the 2020 statistical divergences just show the areas where existing fraud mechanisms had to expand in order to produce the desired results in battleground states. At this point I'd honestly like to see an in-depth...
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @MetricReject @toad_spotted
...audit in places like New York City or San Francisco just as much as I would in Fulton or Wayne.
1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
This is gonna be the problem if Democrats press the end of the electoral college. States like Florida and Ohio will rightly expect to be able to audit results out of New York and California.
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.