JF

siding with the virus is allowed under certain rhetorical circumstances

requiring more data on viral ADE (is a second infection worse?), we're collectively running an experiment where we feed the massively infectious pathogen a few million more hosts, more incubators for the needed shifts. Maybe we'll know by hurricane season? https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7102551/ …

My galaxy brain hypothesis is that it's getting ADE from itself on the first infection which is what triggers the seemingly random divergence of patients between "gets better" and "begins dying" around ten days in

Maybe. Similarly, patients sweating off the pneumonia in a hospital might be reacting sharply to a brother-strain as every clinic becomes a nosocomial swarm. Here's a phylogeny, NYC working on its own brands: https://nextstrain.org/ncov/global?dmax=2019-12-24&dmin=2019-12-14 …

To my knowledge they've found one functional mutation so far, ie a single changed protein, and it's too early to know if that has any effect. I'd be more worried about other CoVs popping up. What if MERS broke out in Saudi Arabia right now?