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I think the lockdown measures will work but we'll have to see with the 'soft' lockdown how it ends up comparing to Wuhan. Two months of that and we'll be able to firefight by the time schools reopen if we take the right precautions. US total probably 100-200k
Deaths that is. I think after the spike we'll be able to get testing on track (existing capacity will enough to be proactive after cases slow down), do serological tests, wear masks, maybe temp checks in public places, and keep deaths to <1% with a fairly slow rate of increase
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optimistic
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Yeah. I totally agree with people that China's *absolute* numbers are likely underreported but I kinda think between them, Taiwan, South Korea and Singapore it's probably possible to contain, and the feds only have so much ability to send people out of the house
End of conversation
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