apparently a lot of people are saying they're #NotDying4WallStreet, but statistically speaking 2-5% of you will
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Replying to @realEggAccount
probably north of 5 once we hit capacity and doctors start dying
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Replying to @wokehuggies @realEggAccount
Not 5% of pop. 5% of infected is very possible - but mitigation is also very difficult to stop. You can send the army or the sheriff to make people work but their own forces will get sick.
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Replying to @jackfruitstaken @realEggAccount
Good point. Infection rate at 70% maybe we get it sub 5
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Replying to @wokehuggies @realEggAccount
I don't get these models for how many people get it. China is opening back up with far less than 10% of Hubei infected and probably 1% of the country even if you think their numbers are goosed. All we're locked into are the new cases that arise before lockdown.
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Replying to @jackfruitstaken @realEggAccount
I think they assume continued but controlled spread afterword with medical capacity to handle it. Or maybe that R0 number isn’t as bad as predicted.
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The r0 changes based on people's behavior. Now that we have Americans making masks we can get people wearing them, and spread the word that restaurants and malls are safer with temp checks at the door. Hire students to do epidemiology and get everyone the location app.
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