apparently a lot of people are saying they're #NotDying4WallStreet, but statistically speaking 2-5% of you will
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Good point. Infection rate at 70% maybe we get it sub 5
I don't get these models for how many people get it. China is opening back up with far less than 10% of Hubei infected and probably 1% of the country even if you think their numbers are goosed. All we're locked into are the new cases that arise before lockdown.
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there was only a short time when people were mixing freely w/ coronavirus on the loose in china. we've been doing this for months. it will be orders of magnitudes worse here.
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Oh yeah, the actual percentage will be higher here and our death toll will be far worse. I just have a relatively rosy idea of what happens after that.
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I think they assume continued but controlled spread afterword with medical capacity to handle it. Or maybe that R0 number isn’t as bad as predicted.
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The r0 changes based on people's behavior. Now that we have Americans making masks we can get people wearing them, and spread the word that restaurants and malls are safer with temp checks at the door. Hire students to do epidemiology and get everyone the location app.
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