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jackfruitstaken's profile
JF
JF
JF
@jackfruitstaken

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JF

@jackfruitstaken

Jackfruit from the Internet. "Ein Tier, das nur in der Gesellschaft sich vereinzeln kann." - Marx "Blam[es] on his boots the faults of his feet." - Beckett

Joined June 2009

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    1. STAT‏Verified account @statnews 17 Mar 2020

      Opinion: A fiasco in the making? As the #coronavirus pandemic takes hold, we are making decisions without reliable data.https://buff.ly/2xN9klx 

      57 replies 137 retweets 259 likes
    2. Tatyana Livshultz‏ @Tanya_Livshultz 17 Mar 2020
      Replying to @statnews

      @METRICStanford What is the basis for using a 1% infection rate when estimating US mortality? @mlipsitch predicts 20-60% infection rate.

      1 reply 3 retweets 7 likes
    3. MM‏ @InsiderBiotech 17 Mar 2020
      Replying to @Tanya_Livshultz @statnews and

      No. Currently the worst case is Lombardy (Italy) and as of March 16, 2020 only 0.026% of population was diagnosed COVID-19 positive. So 20-60% infection rate is not real IMO.

      8 replies 2 retweets 22 likes
    4. JF‏ @jackfruitstaken 17 Mar 2020
      Replying to @InsiderBiotech @Tanya_Livshultz and

      Those high percentages are based on, essentially, guesses. It's totally plausible that if we went on with our lives and ignored the plague we would infect that many people, but testing, tracing and masks have kept the numbers in check without draconian measures elsewhere.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    5. The Ghost of Jeremy Bentham  🌐‏ @UtilityMonster2 17 Mar 2020
      Replying to @jackfruitstaken @InsiderBiotech and

      We don’t have enough testing capacity, so draconian measures are necessary. They aren’t “guesses” either.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      JF‏ @jackfruitstaken 17 Mar 2020
      Replying to @UtilityMonster2 @InsiderBiotech and

      They're not guesses, but the projections are based on macro-scale assumptions about humans' ability to intervene and how effective that can be. Taiwan, PRC, SK and Singapore are currently bucking those assumptions.

      10:31 AM - 17 Mar 2020
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. The Ghost of Jeremy Bentham  🌐‏ @UtilityMonster2 17 Mar 2020
          Replying to @jackfruitstaken @InsiderBiotech and

          We don’t have the testing or surveillance capacity that these countries have. End of.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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