Honestly the media needs to be far far far more alarmist than they are being. People need to be panicking and afraid to leave their homes. That's the only way public officials will feel they can close bars, restaurants, etc.
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@MooseMilk1985 yes, that’s the assumption – and like@jackfruitstaken says, the less overloaded the medical system, the lower the mortality rate. Best case scenario seems to 0.5% based on numbers from South Korea (that’s half a percent, not .05%)
