Plenty of Buttigieg people will go to Sanders, just as plenty of Jeb people went to Trump These anti-establishment candidates don't have ceilings Most primary voters aren't ideological and want to back someone strong. The higher the number you put up, the stronger the vibe
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Buttigieg dropout will allow Sanders to put up more intimidating numbers on Tuesday He'll look strong Doesn't matter what the delegate effects are, the other states will fall one after another after Tuesday
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There has never been a significant chance of a brokered convention, the projections (e.g. 538) which anticipate this consistently underrate the effects of strong vibes on momentum This is why they failed to anticipate Trump sewing it up last time
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Klobuchar dropping out is great too! Every extra point Bernie gets makes him look stronger, encouraging more voters to bandwagon It doesn't matter at all if the other centrists clear 15 in a few extra states. This isn't going to be close
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I hope you're right, Ben.
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