Growth in case counts in S Korea, Italy, Iran reflects testing strategy, in part. They are looking more so they are finding more. This is why expanding diagnostic capacity in the US is so urgent. We aren’t doing enough surveillance to understand when/if/how much community spread.
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There is a possibility that we may someday learn we have had community transmission in the US for a while. Case counts may lappear to grow very fast, like in Italy, and it will feel overwhelming.
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If that imagined scenario does come to pass, we should keep a steady hand - the numbers are about testing and reporting, not a real-time transmission ticker.
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Replying to @cmyeaton
I’m caregiver for my mom who has advanced cancer, her oncology dept at a hospital in Orange County Ca is sure this is the severe flu that went through their staff and patients in late October 2019 after a DOCTOR RETURNED FROM CHINA, just no one to tell, and no way to prove.
1 reply 3 retweets 11 likes
If so it's good news that it was contained then.
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