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jackfruitstaken's profile
JF
JF
JF
@jackfruitstaken

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JF

@jackfruitstaken

Jackfruit from the Internet. "Ein Tier, das nur in der Gesellschaft sich vereinzeln kann." - Marx "Blam[es] on his boots the faults of his feet." - Beckett

Joined June 2009

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    1. Oren Cass‏Verified account @oren_cass 20 Feb 2020

      4/ For example, our inflation-adjusted data say car prices have not increased since the mid-1990s. Obviously, that's not remotely true. What economists are saying is that cars have gotten better so the higher sticker price doesn't reflect inflation, it reflects higher quality.

      25 replies 351 retweets 2,818 likes
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    2. Oren Cass‏Verified account @oren_cass 20 Feb 2020

      5/ Fair enough. But, if you're a family that needs to buy a minivan, while it's nice that the 2018 Grand Caravan ($26,300 in 2018) has many features the 1996 Grand Caravan ($17,900 in 1996) did not, you still face the problem that you need an extra $8,500 to buy one.

      59 replies 383 retweets 3,710 likes
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    3. Oren Cass‏Verified account @oren_cass 20 Feb 2020

      6/ A key assumption of our inflation-adjusted analyses is that old products are still available. Don't like / can't afford the $26K 2018 Grand Caravan, go buy the $18K 1996 one instead. Except you can't. Same problem is even more pernicious in areas like housing and health care.

      47 replies 522 retweets 4,096 likes
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    4. Oren Cass‏Verified account @oren_cass 20 Feb 2020

      7/ Another huge problem with health care, especially, is that everyone has to pay for shared risk. If a million-dollar miracle cure needed by 1 in 1,000 households drives up everyone's insurance premium, that's not inflationary. You now have access to the million-dollar cure.

      17 replies 222 retweets 2,409 likes
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    5. Oren Cass‏Verified account @oren_cass 20 Feb 2020

      8/ Again, fair enough. But we have to recognize that the median family must now pay more for health insurance and will not use the cure. Last 20 yrs, the typical family's health care consumption has gone up $2K, but their premium has gone up $13K. No wonder they feel worse off.pic.twitter.com/wCJluE5ai7

      16 replies 672 retweets 3,556 likes
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    6. Oren Cass‏Verified account @oren_cass 20 Feb 2020

      9/ So, start putting these things together, and you find a situation where major costs facing families have skyrocketed unsustainably in ways our economics is incapable of acknowledging. Then we gloss over the underlying assumptions and say "inflation-adjusted wages look good."

      16 replies 566 retweets 3,435 likes
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    7. Oren Cass‏Verified account @oren_cass 20 Feb 2020

      10/ When we say "inflation-adjusted wages look good," we are actually saying "if you could take your wage back to 1970 and spend it, you'd be better off than you were at the time with a 1970 wage." I mean, maybe that's interesting. But it doesn't describe lived experience.

      19 replies 780 retweets 4,582 likes
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    8. Oren Cass‏Verified account @oren_cass 20 Feb 2020

      11/ There are lots of good reasons to have our existing technical measures. Macroeconomists need them. But alongside them, we need a perspective that looks at the costs households actually face as compared to the wages that workers actually earn.

      8 replies 227 retweets 2,433 likes
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    9. Oren Cass‏Verified account @oren_cass 20 Feb 2020

      12/ I've created a measure I call the Cost-of-Thriving Index (COTI), comparing nominal costs to a family for housing, health care, transportation, and education with nominal weekly wage of median male worker. My new @ManhattanInst report details rationale, assumptions, sources.

      12 replies 299 retweets 2,621 likes
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    10. Oren Cass‏Verified account @oren_cass 20 Feb 2020

      13/ COTI shows that while the nominal median male wage rose from $443 to $1,026 from 1985 to 2018 (132%), the expected cost of his family's major expenditures rose from $13,227 to $54,414 (311%). He used to need 30 weeks of work to cover those costs, now he needs 53.pic.twitter.com/SUSkxGrFja

      30 replies 995 retweets 3,429 likes
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      JF‏ @jackfruitstaken 20 Feb 2020
      Replying to @oren_cass

      In other words - wages have cratered, as is obvious to anyone who entered the job market after 1985.

      9:36 AM - 20 Feb 2020
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      • 🤠Pain🐬☭ Old Lady YangGang 🧢⬆️ laura l. sullivan Dime Opinions They're Taking Your Kids Next
      0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes

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