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jackfruitstaken's profile
JF
JF
JF
@jackfruitstaken

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JF

@jackfruitstaken

Jackfruit from the Internet. "Ein Tier, das nur in der Gesellschaft sich vereinzeln kann." - Marx "Blam[es] on his boots the faults of his feet." - Beckett

Joined June 2009

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    1. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 6 Feb 2020

      It seems like our model is more bullish on Sanders than the conventional wisdom right now, for basically 2 reasons 1) It's treating Iowa as much more of a win for Sanders than the CW seems to be doing 2) It doesn't really make any assumptions about Bernie having a "ceiling" etc.

      67 replies 97 retweets 959 likes
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    3. Nied‏ @B_Nied 6 Feb 2020
      Replying to @DavidAgStone @NateSilver538

      Seems more like it's the 25%.

      5 replies 0 retweets 95 likes
    4. peewee thurman‏ @wurrywurt 6 Feb 2020
      Replying to @B_Nied @DavidAgStone @NateSilver538

      We’ll see 🤷‍♂️ Seems like he’s doing really well so far

      1 reply 0 retweets 12 likes
    5. Nied‏ @B_Nied 6 Feb 2020
      Replying to @wurrywurt @DavidAgStone @NateSilver538

      He barely nosed a no-name small town mayor with ~25% of the vote in a caucus with dismal turnout. That's not exactly doing well.

      12 replies 2 retweets 21 likes
      JF‏ @jackfruitstaken 6 Feb 2020
      Replying to @B_Nied @wurrywurt and

      Turnout wasn't dismal, it was average. Most likely, Iowans are just not as focused on "beating Trump" as your average Dem candidate.

      5:13 PM - 6 Feb 2020
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

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