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Proposal: If it makes a difference how you count, ignore Iowa, keep relative positions of the candidates fixed, and move on to the next state. (*Make mild adjustments if there are big surprises)https://twitter.com/nate_cohn/status/1224388298954723335 …
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Itai Sher proslijedio/la je Tweet
Everybody who's sure their candidate is going to win tonight needs to take a big swig of skepticism juice and brace themselves for a surprise.https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1224066224247791623 …
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I think that it’s only a narrow conception of rationality that accepts too narrow a class of reasons for action as rationally compelling that makes this behavior appear irrational.
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So I don’t think there’s a conflict between rationality and promise-keeping in cases where your reputation is not on the line.
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That you made a promise is a good reason to keep it. I think most people would agree with that statement. In general, it’s rational to do what you have good reasons to do. (Of course you have to take into account opposing reasons if there are any.)
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Sure many people keep their promises because of reputation or fear of consequences, but to think that it’s mysterious why people would keep promises otherwise or that it would be irrational to do so is misguided.
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Made a comment elsewhere that I want to share more widely. Roughly it was in response to the attempt to explain promise keeping (and keeping of other similar obligations) in terms of reputation, or other consequences on the presumption that otherwise why do it?
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On the one hand, I think it’s good if Bernie can attract people from outside the party. On the other, the antipathy for the party makes me worry about whether Bernie would be a good steward of the nomination.
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More generally I’m troubled by the fact that the Sanders campaign is so dependent on people who are alienated from the Democratic Party.
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This, from a Sanders field organizer, is gaming of the system. I’m all for same day registration, but the suggestion here that you unregister the next day shows the bad faith.https://twitter.com/simonnarode/status/1224010639213056000 …
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Itai Sher proslijedio/la je Tweet
CDC is monitoring 110 possible coronavirus cases across 26 states in UShttps://cnb.cx/2t728Pe
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Itai Sher proslijedio/la je TweetHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Itai Sher proslijedio/la je Tweet
Net favorability of socialism, among: Sanders backers: +56% Biden backers: -4% All Dem primary voters: +17% All registered voters: -34% Independents: -45%https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/1223971036867239936 …
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Give it a rest https://twitter.com/mattbruenig/status/1224119199938875401 …
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It's possible that Sanders could win the Presidency, but he is unusual as a candidate in terms of downside risk. I would have preferred not to be contemplating something like this going into the first primary competition.
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"the possibility of Bernie Sanders taking down the Democratic Party — down whole." Depending on the interpretation, it could happen. If it means losing the House and Presidency, Sanders could do that. Could it be more? How much damage could he do? Not sure.https://twitter.com/NBCPolitics/status/1224075369692717059 …
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Itai Sher proslijedio/la je Tweet
Knocking doors in Iowa has been a reminder of how bad caucuses are for democracy. I’ve had so many folks who support Warren (or others) but have to work, will be out of town, or just have busy lives. Voting should be easy and accessible, not disenfranchising.
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As
@DKarol points out, if Biden is elected President, Dems probably win the House.Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Republicans—especially in this case
@SenJoniErnst—are so craven and amoral. https://twitter.com/jeneps/status/1224066320465002502 …Tweet je nedostupan.Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Itai Sher proslijedio/la je Tweet
1. Whatever. 2. If Biden is President odds are very strong Democrats control the House. 3. Whatever. https://twitter.com/jeneps/status/1224066320465002502 …
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