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I'm not quite as optimistic as you are about Dems' chances in 2020, but this important work of scholarship largely summarizes my opinion of the swing voter hypothesis.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KAG37Kw1-aw …
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Trump is correct that the economy is pretty good right now. The reason why is that it has continued on the exact same trajectory that it was on under Obama. https://www.vox.com/2020/2/4/21117194/real-state-of-the-union-address-trump …pic.twitter.com/wbtZj2VkbU
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This chart makes a pretty good argument that Biden is LESS electable than Warren or Sanders. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/01/31/are-democrats-really-disarray-dont-underestimate-their-unity/ …pic.twitter.com/FKy8jq6Hld
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It's really striking how Obamacare started to become popular the minute Trump presented a credible threat to it. https://www.kff.org/health-reform/poll-finding/kff-health-tracking-poll-january-2020/ …pic.twitter.com/HFxJ0ktNIN
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