There's a difference between recognizing and emotionally processing the serious situation we're in (wrt climate, etc) so that we can pragmatically move forward, and betting on doom, which would be a self-fulfilling prophecy. A lot of 'rationalists' are living in fantasy land.https://twitter.com/selentelechia/status/1222336381126508544 …
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Making a bet is making a note of what exactly the "existential seriousness of our situation" is. It is saying, "I think there is an X% chance of a situation Y bad happening".
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Depending on the actual degree of doom and likelihood of it happening (i.e. exactly what bets determine), the correct response changes. Based on opportunity costs if nothing else. There's a time to think and a time to act, and the ideal rat does each in their time.
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