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In the end.. it’s lottery.. being your birthday or multiples of 9 are all random
Whats funny is society cries for inequality but when the prize is spread to multiple winners, they cry foul. In the end, inequality is truly the law of nature (pareto principle)
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I think people don't have a problem with more people winning. It is just that the outcome itself does not follow probabilistic expectations. It would be the same thing if slot machines in a casino hit the jackpot successively. The casino would investigate for any anomaly.
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alternative in 4th paragraph can be conditionals/bayesian. distribution of bets per combi is non-uniform. data from pcso can be used how oftern people bet on lucky 9…
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Empirical data would be useful. I actually have heard from someone I trust that someone they know was one of the lucky winners. So maybe everything is legit. I expect more people to vote on patterned sequences from now though, hoping lighting strikes twice 😅
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What's the probability that I will be DOH secretary?
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If you are referring to Dr Sit Down, the probability is higher than 433 lottery winners.
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Did you assume that all 433 winners selected their bet at random (as in using Lucky Pick?).
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You are assuming that there is a normal distribution of bets among all 28,989,675 possible outcomes. This assumption could be flawed since we have NO statistical data of the distribution of bets. It is very likely that the distribution of bets are skewed around numbers 1-31.
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Without any data, the assumption is that bets are distributed uniformly. The probabilities calculated are a priori. In reality, some combinations with patterns may be more likely to be picked by bettors. This was mentioned in the post.
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