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Weird Sun Twitter
instances of class Instance Of Class. all absences are deliberate
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Maybe you could transfer your consciousness to one of your other bodies in a parallel universe. But then what would move into your current body? Probably your parallel self, or yet another parallel self. So you probably won't improve your situation on net.
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Do you ever have this conversation? 1: The thing is in state X, right? 2: Sorry! 1: What? 2: I'll change it now. 1: I just want to know what state it's in. 2: I'll get right on that
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>at vibecamp >guy invites me to join a cult >ask if it's a woo cult or a rat cult >he doesn’t understand >I pull out a diagram of woo cults and rat cults >"it’s a good cult, sir" >I join the cult >of course it's a woo cult, if it was a rat cult we'd still be arguing definitions
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LessWrong is for people who believe in Eliezer's principles, not his ideas we had an idea once that principle convergence should lead to idea convergence, we called it Aumann agreement, but that idea didn't work in practice. so we *gave it up* and kept the principles instead
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America is now an intelligence focused on improving GDP under the constraint this isn't allowed to actually make people better off.
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where are there high epistemics low signaling environments? i only know low epistemics low signaling, high epistemics high signaling, and low epistemics high signaling environments
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Maybe the computronium running your personal simulated environment in the future will be built using only the mass-energy of stuff you personally own. So you should hoard stuff.
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“A society grows great when old men plant trees in whose shade they shall never sit.” — Greek Proverb “Let's build things that might kill all of us. It will probably be fine." — Modern Proverb
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I must not take the vaccine Prions are the mind killer Spike protein is the little death that brings total obliteration I will face the propaganda I will permit it to pass over me and through me When the pandemic has gone there will be nothing Only the unvaxxed will remain
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the insanity of modern day life is every geopolitical party minimizing their subjective p(World War 2 repeat) Soros going crazy on DAs , Putin pushing Ukraine, US feds entrapments, China's military build up, Germany's end of free speech are all driven by the same impulse.
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ISTM feudalism can't compete with modern forms of government. But also ISTM that classical governments were more similar to modern governments than to feudalism, and they were replaced by feudalism. What am I missing?
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We have found new and exciting ways to shoot ourselves in the foot
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* People ask LLMs to write code * LLMs recommend imports that don't actually exist * Attackers work out what these imports' names are, and create & upload them with malicious payloads * People using LLM-written code then auto-add malware themselves vulcan.io/blog/ai-halluc
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Prediction time: If Trump goes to jail and stays there during nov 2024, the Girardian human sacrifice justice system will not be sated (it can't). Before 2034 it will jail the following people: Elon Zuck A bunch of VC/AI people, notably Sama
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can they prevent this? in theory they could make better social media allowing them to negotiate with power. In practice it's unlikely.
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The naive vision of a bird in flight is that of freedom, or maybe aerodynamics; but the bird is a part of an ecosystem, and its movement through gradients of atmospheric pressure is but secondary to its movement through gradients of death
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A philosopher's stone ground into many small parts becomes a philosopher's sand; a large area covered with such is called a philosophical desert.
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All social science and engineering is downstream from the invention of history.
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"Historical authenticity is ridiculous nonsense. It is a proof of unproductivity and general passivity of its proponents more than anything else. The Legend is more important than what is considered to be real. Those who can no longer forge and falsify their history are dead"
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AI taking all the jobs needs to be done in the right order. First, the people, who complain about AI using bad economics need to be replaced.
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Do the major language families, e.g. Indo-European and Sino-Tibetan, have a common ancestor? If so, when did it exist?
  • No common ancestor
    28.6%
  • Within 30k years
    28.6%
  • Within 100k years
    42.9%
  • Older than 100k years
    0%
7 votesFinal results
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If monocausal explanations were never used, history would be different, and therefore X, which is a contingent event, would not have occurred.
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i think "roll to disbelieve" isn't a great expression in the context where people are using it. it highlights uncertainty about whether you're able to make yourself disbelieve something conditional on it not being real, instead of uncertainty about whether it's real
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I gave vectorizer.ai a try. I'm interested in AI-generated vector art. Here I had Midjourney generate an image with the prompt "beam lore, vector art" and then converted it to an SVG with vectorizer (re-rasterized as PNG for attached image).
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SVG artists are capable of achieving very small file sizes compared to raster images. It would be really cool if AI could do this someday. This might take the form of end-to-end generation of SVGs directly from a prompt, instead of converting from a raster image as I tried here.
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One kind of workflow with ChatGPT looks like: 1. User request a piece of writing 2. AI provides a draft 3. User gives critique 4. AI makes revision Where steps 3 and 4 may be repeated many times. Is there some kind of optimized implementation of this workflow?
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Like in terms of context management. When the AI makes a revision, you might want to rewrite the context to just include (1) and (2), with the revised text in place of (2).
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I think the biggest mistake in relationships is to use rewards and punishments. Yes, it's a form of communication. Yes, you can use it to improve the quality of some local outcomes. But it will decrease the value of the whole relationship, eventually destroying it.
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If you get really good at pickup lines, outrageous outfits, and psychological tricks, you find that there’s less and less satisfaction in having one more meaningless hookup. It’s actually quite Hegelian, and in my new book, The End of Mystery and the Last One-Night Stand, I will
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various people keep beclowning themselves by arguing that we need super ai in ten years to stop the asteroid that will smash civilization in a hundred million years i'm not sure whether to call them out on it, because calling them out might make them stop beclowning themselves
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yeah i know i'm on tilt and i should be responding to the strongest instead of the weakest arguments has anyone who argues we need ai to reduce other existential risks ever run the numbers? is there a case for existential risk from all non-ai causes above 2% per decade, say?
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The one-page open letter didn’t work. The one-sentence warning didn’t work. Now, thousands of researchers have signed an open letter that just reads: “Nooooooo”
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did you know that there are people who, in the face of uncertainty, just pull a probability out of their ass and then use that to calculate their decisions how absurd. if they were serious, scientific people, they'd be pulling each individual decision out of their ass separately
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also at some point we should push for giving control of the future to some sort of adequately reflective process, instead of permanently freezing in what sounds good to current audiences
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Most key players have now formally acknowledged that AI existential risk is real! Next step: Acknowledging that superintelligent AI cannot be controlled in the foreseeable future, and we should therefore immediately stop figuring out how to build it! twitter.com/DanHendrycks/s…
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many arguments against ai being risky sound to me like "you guys have no evidence that fish can climb trees" then after effortful digging it turns out they mean "i'm not convinced that you can rule the seas if you're not a fish, or rule the skies if you can't climb trees"
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my point isn't that these arguments are generically absurd. my point is that people think it's okay to hang out in an obscure side branch of the argument, and pretend that it's the whole argument, just because they disagree with the main branch. but it's not okay
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Pausing the UBI discourse was a massive boost to sanity, but it didn't last. The terminally online are back to pretending to care about truckers.
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A big effect trucker protest have had on the discourse is the temporary silencing of "OMG the AI will disrupt the trucking economy and put people out of jobs so we need UBI" takes.
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Who wrote the mental models that SBF and Caroline were running?
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If Meta open-sources an AI foundation model, and Stanford University finetunes it, and AWS or Azure hosts an instance of it, and an end-user uses it in a way that kills 1,000 people or causes $1B in damage, I suggest the law hold all those parties strictly liable for the outcome.
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This is true. However faster algorithms will require more complex human input that means going away from the philosophy of "humans are biased"
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Transformers are the brute force solution, the bubble sort of language modeling. We will invent better algorithms.
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Does anyone else remember AlphaZero and how AI was going to be trained without all this pesky and biased "human data"? Feel old yet?
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The fact of forgetting of things will also be forgotten.
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It's amazing how many things are just going to be completely forgotten. Month over month there are trends that blow up and then just disappear (remember the metaverse?). But over the scale of years and decades virtually everything happening now will be erased.
We have gone full circle on "AI is just pairwise vector multiplications and dot products"
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Replying to @sherjilozair
Maybe all the poorly documented tricks to get transformers to actually work at scale, are complicated, but the core math of kqv is trivial as math - would you say otherwise?
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Brb putting my head in the fridge to test the theory
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Raising brain temperature with both feverish & artificial hyperthermia can improve autism symptoms, probably by increasing its metabolism/function twitter.com/Know_Yourself_…
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The inability of "ethical language" or LLMs to solve morality or constitutions to constrain degeneracy is, to me, obvious. The West is likely to learn this the hard way - through civilizational suicide.
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People be like: no one is this stupid, but then also think meta-ethics' ontology of "moral statements" makes sense OR that they can solve morality using LLMs.
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Narrator: the Meta offices' snacks were just pages of recipe books folded into candy-bar shape. twitter.com/absurdlymax/st…
If you still believe in Progress in Current Year, you are clearly behind the frontier of Progress Studies (see below)
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"Progress of X" confuses two notions: 1 X always increasing as a physical law and 2. X increasing lately as a result of actual people doing actual thing they might not otherwise.
"Progress of X" confuses two notions: 1 X always increasing as a physical law and 2. X increasing lately as a result of actual people doing actual thing they might not otherwise.
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Was Caroline ever rich in non-stolen money terms?
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Replying to @CathyReisenwitz
I think it's relevant that she said that in the process of justifying why she "only" gave $1000 to global poverty charities that year, and gave much more to animal-related charities (this is before she was rich).
"moral progress" is just two nice sounding words strung together with no basis in reality. The real fact is that under most conditions, "coordination progress" is always decreasing.
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Rise and Fall of empires is a fascinating theory that somehow still predicts everything even if some people in the Empire know the theory.
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Rise and Fall of empires is a fascinating theory that somehow still predicts everything even if some people in the Empire know the theory.
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She has reached level 7 samadhi and he is too busy signalling he's ready for Kegan 4
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[on a date] me: so what are you politically? her: oh I don’t like labels me: well labels are just categories and categories are required for reasoning so what you’re actually saying is you don’t like thinking
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Youve been saying your contractions like theres no apostrophe, she said. Maybe. Been reading too many CormacMcCarthynovels? Might be I have. Might be I havent been reading enough of them.
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How far does this go? What about people who prevented the model from being good by falsely accusing its technique of being unsafe?
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If Meta open-sources an AI foundation model, and Stanford University finetunes it, and AWS or Azure hosts an instance of it, and an end-user uses it in a way that kills 1,000 people or causes $1B in damage, I suggest the law hold all those parties strictly liable for the outcome.
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Have you noticed that anyone with a higher value of variable X than you cares about X too much and anyone with a lower value cares about X too little?
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To steelman this effect, in current year "propositional thinking" is laden with definitional ambiguity. Unless math + simulations are on the table, feelings are more philosophicaly grounded. In other words "feelings yaay, overthinking boooo"
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why are people always trying to change the topic from "which propositions should we believe" to "which feelings should we feel" twitter.com/robinhanson/st
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Oh yes, nurses had lost to the vax already, they didn't have a chance against protesters.
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Culture war is best thought of as a culture tournament. Every month we see a fight between groups. in 2020 Nurses vs Freedom (1-0) Police vs BLM (0 - 1) This year: Nurses vs Vax (0 - 1) Police vs Freedom (0 -1) Eagerly awaiting BLM vs Vax (The Grand Finals!)
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If you break copyright once, it is your problem and can lead to a lawsuit. If you break copyright one million times per second it is called artificial intelligence and pays 3 times your current salary.
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I don't actually have a serious pro copyright stance. Simply interesting to watch two regime darlings go at it.
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If you want an image of the future, imagine critical infrastructure failing due to boot emojis not loading. ... Forever
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Discord made their create channel endpoint reliant on OpenAI's API working, because AI picked emojis for channels are apparently critical. Channel actions are now 500ing because the dumb ai channel emoji feature relies on a 3rd party API and there's 0 error handling. Hilarious.
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What is crazier? EU coming up with a reasonable technology law or openAI actually becoming self-aware about what "regulation" means?
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OpenAI CEO threatening to leave EU if they force companies to disclose copyrighted training material feels like a declaration of bancrupty. If they are not able to operate without violating copyrights they might just not have a sound business model. #ai #chatgpt #OpenAI
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