Here’s why Europe’s economy is holding up better than America’s
Not only is the virus under control across Europe, but unemployment is, too.
Not only is the virus under control across Europe, but unemployment is, too.
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After the great recession, the American economy rebounded faster and stronger than the euro zone. But as both emerge from the first wave of the Covid-19 pandemic, the tables seem to have turnedhttps://bloom.bg/30glA8P
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The U.S. is still struggling to contain outbreaks in several states. Meanwhile, in most European countries, sacrifices of months of strict lockdowns appear to be paying off with any flare-ups contained locally https://bloom.bg/30glA8P pic.twitter.com/pA7DL600uE
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The euro zone is in the middle of a very steep recession, and GDP is expected to fall by nearly 8% in 2020. But Europe’s restaurants, bars and shops don’t seem to be heading for a mass round of fresh lockdowns, unlike in the U.S. https://bloom.bg/30glA8P pic.twitter.com/7qBvsh1OmR
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The change in the euro zone’s and U.S.’s unemployment rate since the pandemic shows the difference of the two approaches:
3.5% in February to 11.1% in June
7.2% to 7.4% in May https://bloom.bg/30glA8P pic.twitter.com/kIFhKLHlHy
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So how has Europe kept job losses so low? It’s down mostly to furlough schemes, which have covered more than 35 million people in the bloc’s five largest economies https://bloom.bg/30glA8P pic.twitter.com/lFnVQfNsIB
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The schemes subsidize workers for the hours they’re not employed, meaning companies can keep workers on their payroll. Without them, the drop of worker income across the euro area would have been 22% during lockdowns. Instead, it was only 7% https://bloom.bg/30glA8P pic.twitter.com/KKLm8xUyyS
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These furlough schemes aren’t without problems:
Expensive
Perverse incentives for workers
Hard to end
Employers may still need to adapt post-Covid by downsizing https://bloom.bg/30glA8P pic.twitter.com/dVjRrG26VQ
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These problems don’t make furloughing a bad idea, but governments need to accompany them with active policies, such as retraining those who are likely to become unemployed https://bloom.bg/30glA8P pic.twitter.com/Is9e4nzUcQ
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