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hugohanoi's profile
Hugo Nguyen
Hugo Nguyen
Hugo Nguyen
@hugohanoi

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Hugo Nguyen

@hugohanoi

I chain, therefore I am ⛓️

Joined April 2012

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    1. Hugo Nguyen‏ @hugohanoi Aug 12

      Hugo Nguyen Retweeted Marty Bent

      1/ Amazing thread, h/t @MartyBent @parkeralewis. I want to add that in my prior (relatively shallow) research of monetary policies in history, I’ve seen the seeds of doubt raised within the ranks of the central bankers themselves.https://twitter.com/MartyBent/status/1028366607796592640 …

      Hugo Nguyen added,

      Marty Bent @MartyBent
      1/ After reading his incredible [private] whitepaper and having a few discussions on the subject with @parkeralewis, here’s a thread on the utter incompetence + inconsistency of the Federal Reserve leading up to and following 2008.
      Show this thread
      1 reply 8 retweets 20 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Hugo Nguyen‏ @hugohanoi Aug 12

      2/ Centrally-managed monetary policies, even if _met_ (e.g.: commonly accepted 2% inflation target), might not actually be a good thing. Below I include a few quotes from Masaaki Shirakawa, the previous (30th) Governor of the Bank of Japan, September 2013.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Show this thread
    3. Hugo Nguyen‏ @hugohanoi Aug 12

      3/ "Success creates its own problems" - mused Shirakawa. "Success" here implies successful inflation targeting. He looks at Japan's Lost Decade(s) & economies in the 2000s as empirical evidence.pic.twitter.com/F6Z1vSQVoY

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Hugo Nguyen‏ @hugohanoi Aug 12

      4/ Shirakawa gives 2 reasons for such a contradiction between practice & theory: (a) price stability plus high growth tend to lead to bubble conditions and (b) price stability tends to justify prolonged monetary easing, which in turn exacerbate the bubbles.pic.twitter.com/XrQct0G5Hc

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Hugo Nguyen‏ @hugohanoi Aug 12

      5/ Here it is in his own words, an extremely influential central banker: "we have to admit that central banks that have accommodated asset price bubbles *failed to achieve economic stability*" Regardless of what you think of central bankers, admitting this is quite brave!pic.twitter.com/TtBMiL9Uod

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Hugo Nguyen‏ @hugohanoi Aug 12

      6/ Here he is again, clearly admitting there there is an inherent conflict & something very wrong in the currently accepted monetary policies of the world: "this position is no longer tenable."pic.twitter.com/jsIBKnIPVi

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      Show this thread
      Hugo Nguyen‏ @hugohanoi Aug 12

      7/ A tangential point I want to raise is that contrary to popular belief, not all bankers are “evil”. As seen here, some of them are quite capable of seeing their own contradictions. Through logical reasoning & empirical evidences.

      5:36 PM - 12 Aug 2018
      • 1 Retweet
      • 3 Likes
      • Hasu Eb Marty Bent
      1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Hugo Nguyen‏ @hugohanoi Aug 12

          8/ If you were to look at this economic thing objectively, you can say that in earnest some of these central bankers believed what they did was for the best. But now there’s mounting evidence that centrally-managed money might have been a failed experiment.

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Hugo Nguyen‏ @hugohanoi Aug 12

          9/ Reference for above quotes: https://www.bis.org/publ/bppdf/bispap77e.pdf …

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
          Show this thread
        4. End of conversation

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