Little room for increase ? Meaning ? Thanks for the data
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@samgoeta intéressant... confinement très/trop efficace. Immunité basse. Je propose de confiner les >50 et laisser le reste de la population s’immuniser
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Garlic.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Don't try....none of the math on this even remotely makes sense.
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what are the dot-dash lines representing on the bottom 2 graphs?
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Usually used to represent confidence intervals when estimating a curve (i.e., "I am not sure if the real curve is the blue one, but I am 95% sure that it falls between these two dotted lines") http://www.real-statistics.com/regression/confidence-and-prediction-intervals/ …
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isn't there a relation between R and the percentage of infected people in a population? why do you say there is little room for R increment and, at the same time, hope to see a larger percentage of infected?
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If R>1, cases will increase; if R<1 cases decrease. As a larger fraction of the population becomes immune following infection or vaccination R declines from max value R0. R = R0*Susc pop (S)/tot pop (N). But behavior can change R&R0.
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Need to confirm, but I suspect this study is nationwide. So large areas of rural France with limited exposure - versus care home settings. New York has a subway, reasonably young population etc.
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