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hippopedoid's profile
Dmitry Kobak
Dmitry Kobak
Dmitry Kobak
@hippopedoid

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Dmitry Kobak

@hippopedoid

Research scientist at Tübingen University (Berens lab), working on unsupervised learning for transcriptomic data. Born but to die and reas'ning but to err.

Tübingen, Germany
dkobak.github.io
Joined December 2019

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    Dmitry Kobak‏ @hippopedoid 10 Dec 2020

    Избыточная смертность в России за апрель--октябрь: 184,000 (по данным Росстата). Это в 6.5 раз больше, чем по данным оперативного штаба за тот же период. Если этот коэффициент сохранится, то на сегодня избыточная смертность уже ~300,000, т.е. 0.2% населения.pic.twitter.com/l5iJMoqNBh

    10:28 PM - 10 Dec 2020
    • 147 Retweets
    • 403 Likes
    • joerg g. DARTH---ALEXIEL Афанасьев Сергей Грuгоpuй Громко Dan Skiy Евгения Лунтикова Belyi.Mish Галина Борзунова Світлана Глазкова
    Maxim Mironov, так называемый наки and Mikhail Zelenskiy
    28 replies 147 retweets 403 likes
      1. Dmitry Kobak‏ @hippopedoid 11 Dec 2020

        And this is how the official daily reported mortality (blue) compares with the excess mortality (red) across countries. Red bars are my estimates of the *current* excess mortality, based on the "undercount coefficient" taken from various sources (mainly NYT and The Economist).pic.twitter.com/nYMqM85jQl

        0 replies 11 retweets 31 likes
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      1. yj‏ @ngyojiw 10 Dec 2020
        Replying to @hippopedoid @mironov_fm and

        jesus probably 300,000 extra burials in Russia that means?

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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      2. COVID Impact‏ @CovidSerology 10 Dec 2020
        Replying to @hippopedoid @mironov_fm and

        when will new all-cause mortality data be released?

        2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Dmitry Kobak‏ @hippopedoid 10 Dec 2020
        Replying to @CovidSerology @mironov_fm and

        This *is* new data, released yesterday. For October.

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Где Хуйовий Лещенко?‏ @fish20069 10 Dec 2020
        Replying to @hippopedoid @mironov_fm and

        А могли бы на Донбассе и в Сирии дохнуть.

        0 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
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      2. Странный Агент‏ @DJ_Kislov 10 Dec 2020
        Replying to @hippopedoid @mironov_fm and

        Прошу прощения за цинизм, но в этом можно найти положительный момент - большинство помирающих - 60+, термоядерный электорат хуйла.

        3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Andrey Fedorov‏ @fedorov1812 11 Dec 2020
        Replying to @hippopedoid @treugolny_hui and

        Вот и реальные данные по пандемии. Похоже на правду. Хорошо бы данные избыточной смертности сравнить с прочим миром, чтобы примерно понять наш уровень медицины.

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      2. Dmitry Saava‏ @dsaava 11 Dec 2020
        Replying to @hippopedoid @mironov_fm and

        Как вы получили 300 000? Это предполагает 120 000 за ноябрь и первую декаду декабря? В реальности, всё-таки гораздо меньше, скорее около 70-80к избыточных смертей за ноябрь.

        2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Dmitry Kobak‏ @hippopedoid 11 Dec 2020
        Replying to @dsaava @mironov_fm and

        С помощью пропорции! На конец октября: 28.235 у оперштаба, 184.000 избыточная смертность. На сегодня у оперштаба 45.893. Итого, увы, получаем: 184.000*45.893/28.235 = 299.072 Думаете, так считать некорректно?

        4 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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