everything that we were called alarmist for predicting is now happening.
Yes, this is a year in which a safe default assumption is that norms will be respected. Extremely reasonable stance.
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You're confusing societal norms (if such exist) with predictable court patterns. See the second tweet in the thread.
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Wow it's as if norms regarding the Supreme Court have also lost some of their predictive power recently or something
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All the justices have established ruling histories providing a very consistent line of judicial reasoning, and nearsplit decisions make up less than 1/5 of case rulings. Findings on high accurate predictability of SCOTUS were published in multiple sources back in 2014.
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Cite one legitimate academic source that even preliminarily suggests unpredictability in the current panel. Go ahead.
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When you exhaust your Google search without turning up much to counter existing legal theory, refer yourself to the even earlier "Competing Approaches to Predicting Supreme Court Decision Making" from way back in 2004 and discuss it with someone who has time for you.
End of conversation
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