@MichaelEMann @KHayhoe What's latest science, if any, on how warmer world amplifies risks of going from cat 1 to cat 5 quickly. #Maria
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I would really like to see research on the frequency of Atlantic rapid intensification cycles in the last 30 years vs. the previous decades.
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Could look at it pretty easily using HURDAT: http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hurdat/Data_Storm.html …
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Any chance to see this with cumulative # of storms instead of frequency?
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Sure, here you go. This is number of observations (every 6 hours) by category and SSTs:pic.twitter.com/Hkfq8Qzrtd
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Beautiful graph! What's the citation? I wanna read whatever paper that's from!
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Its my graph using data via my colleague
@rarohde from HURDAT and HadSST3. Relationship known for decades however: http://www.geo.utexas.edu/courses/387H/PAPERS/Emanuel,K.-Nature1987.pdf … - Näytä vastaukset
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Kerry Emanuel just published a paper on this, finding that rapid intensification will likely increase with warming: http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0134.1 …
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Sounds rather easier, actually Forecast is: we are fu--ed Sound about right, gentleman?
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Great graph. What is the period of this data?
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1851 to 2016, though both hurricane and SST data are much spottier early on.
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