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Just finished
#ThinkinginBets by@AnnieDuke and this article by@timwig makes for a perfect follow-up. The art of the match-losing innings http://www.thecricketmonthly.com/story/1158296/the-art-of-the-match-losing-innings … via@cricketmonthly -
#ThinkingInBets is an exposé of our illogical thinking patterns, told by a poker pro schooled in graduate-level psychology. Poker champion@AnnieDuke explains why we succumb to fake news, Monday morning quarterbacking, and "resulting" (see my review).https://businessbookreviewer.com/2018/09/27/review-thinking-in-bets/ … -
#ThinkinginBets by@AnnieDuke has been on order since day after i first tweeted this. I suggest you go to Amazon and do the same. Odds are heavily in favor of it being a best seller.https://twitter.com/RichardJSiegel/status/951232338394001409 … -
Hi
@AnnieDuke - and it was a brilliant opening to an absolutely brilliant book! I gladly and highly recommend#ThinkingInBets to anyone and everyone! http://bit.ly/2yt44xX Big-difference in my decision-making abilities already!https://twitter.com/AnnieDuke/status/958744049258700800 …
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#ThinkingInBets is just a brilliant concept@AnnieDuke -
How often do you ask yourself these questions about your own beliefs? Most of us never do. If you want to make better decisions, though, you’ll start fact-checking yourself. I’m so glad I finally got myself a copy of
@AnnieDuke’s#ThinkingInBets. It’s been fantastic so far! pic.twitter.com/ArRVJbSEwy
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Big thanks to poker champion and decision strategist
@AnnieDuke for stopping by yesterday! Our team loved hearing her take on the roles risk, luck, & human nature play in decision making and business innovation.#ThinkinginBets pic.twitter.com/mgG5Ow4QBH
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Fantastic talk by poker champ
@AnnieDuke on making smart decisions w/o all the data. Analyzing decision quality independent of the outcome is such an important framing. Should be a required course in bschool#thinkinginbets pic.twitter.com/0ddNuaPYwh
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The problem is that people attribute false qualities that enabled the success. They do the same with failures of course but the success analysis tend to breed hubris and arrogance while failure tend to breed self flagellation. Read
@AnnieDuke#ThinkingInBets -
Recently listened to
@farnamstreet interview with@AnnieDuke and now reading her book#ThinkingInBets. So much to learn about decision making and peer groups from this poker player! -
So this arrived in the mail today. Gotta say it feels pretty cool.
#ThinkingInBets pic.twitter.com/RBCT4JqvEV
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Joining me in 10min
@CNN 6pm ET:@isikoff Tom Fuentes@junghpak1@AnnieDuke &@judgecordell#DemocraticMemo#NorthKorea#Olympics#ThinkingInBets -
Today, I did
@AnnieDuke’s scenario-planning exercise of assigning probabilities to potential outcomes and it was BEYOND fascinating. I learned that I assign about 20x more fear and anxiety to a scenario than I actually believe is probable. So illuminating.#thinkinginbets -
Technical Analysis is not a religion. It's a way of life. Read
#ThinkingInBets by@AnnieDuke and you'll know what I mean -
Important point: “Decisions are bets on the future, and they aren’t “right” or “wrong” based on whether they turn out well on any particular iteration”
@AnnieDuke#Thinkinginbets -
Love the way
@AnnieDuke thinks about decision making & probability. Just ordered#ThinkingInBets. "An elegant fusion of poker-table street-smarts and cognitive science insights...will make you a shrewder and wiser player in the game of life." -@PTetlockhttps://amzn.to/2MLTDRe -
Nice
#ThinkingInBets mention@PracticalEcomm "Think, too, about why the project might fail. While this may seem counterintuitive, it can be helpful to imagine your project failing, and why. It's an exercise to help make better decisions and avoid failure."http://bit.ly/2CP84ij -
We often use hindsight bias to suggest that we should have known that the eventual outcome was inevitable, when in fact it was not.
@annieduke#ThinkingInBets https://www.scribd.com/audiobook/370831444 … -
“Fake news works because people who already hold beliefs consistent with the story generally won’t question for evidence”
#ThinkingInBets
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defending Seahawks last play of Super Bowl in 2015. In this