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  1. May 15

    Wow! the model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q2 is ... -42.8%.

    3 replies 40 retweets 60 likes
  2. Aug 10

    forecast from Atlanta Fed: 3 Q to grow 20.5%. Last estimate at 7/31 was 11.9%. Now wonder are scared

    6 replies 32 retweets 96 likes
  3. Jun 4

    The latest from the Atlanta Fed.

    2 likes
  4. Jun 1

    The collapse in PCE (70% Of ) collapsed 14%. Since makes up such a large component of the Atlanta Fed estimate is for a 51.2% decline in Q2. Simple math says we need a 100% recovery in the economy to get back to even. are not priced for this.

    2 replies 10 retweets 25 likes
  5. Sep 25

    Just heard someone on the radio saying (I think) that the 32% annualized GDP gain forecast for 3Q by would wipe out the 31.7% 2Q decline. It doesn't work that way! Would take a 46.4% real GDP increase to get us back to 1Q level, 54.1% to get back to 4Q 2019

    5 replies 16 retweets 65 likes
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  6. 5 Dec 2019

    for Q4 from now in line with at 1.5%

    2 replies 9 retweets 13 likes
  7. 20 Nov 2019

    The US growth tracker for Q4 stands at 1.2%: Lower than consensus at 1.7%. Higher than at 0.4%. > Risks are to the downside on inventory & business investment front

    2 replies 9 retweets 12 likes
  8. Aug 27

    There’s been some reports of a possible double-dip US recession. But given latest projections by ’s model estimating current quarter’s growth of +25.6%, it’s unlikely there will soon be a double-dip unless state & local govts further slow or stop reopenings.

    On August 26, the model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q32020 is 25.6%. Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast.
    3 replies 4 retweets 3 likes
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  9. 6 Nov 2019

    from at 1.0% for Q4, below Blue Chip Consensus range

    2 replies 6 retweets 20 likes
  10. May 16

    Atlanta Fed -48.07 in Q2. Those who think this is only a surface wound. Maybe it's just too hard to understand something of this magnitude. There's never been a larger in history. The economy was a house of cards with 1 gust it crumbled to the floor

    6 retweets 7 likes
  11. Oct 29

    My 🇺🇸 nowcasting model (ML based, beta version) shows 23.4% GDP growth in Q3 2020 (annualized). is at 37%, Staff Nowcast is at 13.7%. Consensus forecast around 30% with large confidence intervals. Still few hours to go! Can't wait 🍿

    3 replies 9 likes
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  12. Jun 17

    The good news is the better than expected report yesterday boosted the forecast. We are now only at a 45% drop in versus 53%. (Whew..that was a close one.)

    2 replies 4 retweets 20 likes
  13. May 12

    Please hold for 's third-quarter boom. from is at -34.8% and from is -31.2.

    The April CPI lowered our high-frequency GDP model’s estimate of second quarter U.S. GDP growth from -19.1% to -23.8% at an annualized rate.
    1 like
  14. Jun 4

    .’s daily barometer just hit a new all-time low. The is forward-looking but ’ “hope” seems to be improving more than fundamentals.

    3 replies 5 retweets 6 likes
  15. Mar 4

    Don’t look now but calling for 2.7% growth in Q1. Slowdown likely in Q2& maybe Q3- but manageable & pickup likely in Q4

    1 reply 9 retweets 15 likes
  16. Sep 7

    Sweet! Atlanta Fed showing 30% US GDP growth in Q3.

    Do people only quote this when it’s negative?
    2 replies 3 retweets 16 likes
  17. May 15

    The Atlanta Feds GDP Now tracker just took a huge leg down tracking a Q2 GDP of -42.8%. is a real time GDP estimate based on vurrent economic data

    On May 15, the model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q22020 is -42.8%. Please note that it does not capture the impact of COVID-19 beyond its impact on GDP source data and relevant economic reports that have already been released.
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    1 retweet 3 likes
  18. Nov 4

    US Q4 Atlanta GDPNow estimate +3.2% vs +3.4% in the previous estimate. The next update will be on Friday after the employment report and data on wholesale trade are released.

  19. May 29

    plummets tracking Q2 at -51.2% this is the worst in US history yet some people want to pretend this is normal

    2 retweets 3 likes
  20. 6 Nov 2019

    Very shortly India's GDP will be 100+ 😂😂😂😂😂

    base year may be changed to 2017-’18, government waiting for more data, says statistics ministry
    1 reply 7 retweets 22 likes

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