Rezultati pretraživanja
  1. 19. pro 2018.

    The Fed's hike today puts another step in the ladder. See why Jeff Gundlach () thought "Damned if they do, damned if they don't" in this week's Thoughts from the Divide - Rate Hikes, Rainbows & Unicorns:

  2. 10. srp 2019.

    Really strong SR1 vs. FF spread volume thus far in July.

  3. 8. pro 2019.

    The Size of the Fed Funds Market By - The daily volume in the Market is near a 40-year low. Many factors led to this point. Dodd-Frank and the Volcker Rule increased capital requirements and made trading more…

  4. 15. kol 2019.

    Date : 8/13/2019 Given : 25 bps cut in Sep meeting FF Contracts price at the same time FFU9 : 9797.5 FFU9-FFV9 =-18.5 FF Contracts according to pricing model : FFU9 :9798 FFU9-FFV9=-14.5 Clear arbitrage by going FFU9 .5 Current Price FFU9: 9801.5

  5. 20. lip 2019.

    Fed Funds futures are now pricing in a 100% probability of a July 31 US rate cut with a 50 bp cut currently gaining some traction.

  6. 1. srp 2019.

    So is 1/2 pt higher than a year ago, but 10-yr is 85bp lower in yield ~ 2%. And continues to tighten as balance sheet runs off.... 😆

  7. Odgovor korisniku/ci

    Long-Term average Real rate around 2%... we have never had this level of stimulus (negative real rates) during an expansion before... needs to end and it is time to let Capitalism weed out the bad, reward the good and reduce wealth inequality.

  8. 19. pro 2018.

    This is what it sounds like when doves cry. Fed decision did not go entirely as expected although it did take one rate hike off the table for next year.

  9. 7. lip 2019.

    I am by no stretch a Fed or Interest Rate expert, but this forecast boggles my mind. There's now a greater likelihood of 100 basis points LOWER in Dec than Unchanged? Prob. of multiple cuts moved from 2.4% to 36.7% in a month....with 3.6% unemployment? GTFOH.

  10. Projections of Fed rate changes appear misaligned with inflation expectations and GDP growth.

  11. 7. velj 2019.
  12. 18. sij

    Hey Jim, you pretty much no nothing. Quantitative Tightening (QT) to the tune of $700 Billion and 9 increases in the rate drove the US dollar up and made our goods more expensive to foreigners.

  13. 13. stu 2019.

    A little bit of money used very well is better than a lot of money used poorly. (Mike Smith)

  14. 17. ruj 2019.

    This is a problem mkts will need to contend with in the future and another reason the FOMC could surprise at this week’s monetary policy meeting.

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  15. 7. lip 2019.

    Does it strike anyone else as ironic/scary that the factor that drives the stock market higher is an increased probability of a rate cut because the economy is slowing because it can’t survive with 2.5%+ rates because debt levels got so high due to suppressed rates?

  16. 14. velj 2019.

    Cuts 2019 U.s. Fed Funds Forecast To 2.75 From 3.0; Cuts 2020 U.S. Forecast To 3.0 From 3.5 - Of Course They Are! As Predicted, Markets Are Now Pricing In A 2020 Rate Cut. Why? Because: "You Can Never Taper A Ponzi Scheme."

  17. 18. srp 2019.

    In Part 1 of 'US: The Trend to Negative Rates', things are happening a lot more quickly than ever before and looks at the outcomes if the central banks are powerless to respond to deflationary pressures.

  18. 14. stu 2019.

    The Fed's continued involvement in the repo market has been affecting key interest rates. This could be signaling the Fed's difficulty to control monetary policy with the fed funds rate.

  19. 15. srp 2019.

    In this week's Macro Insiders In Focus, reviews a dovish FOMC, a modest warming of US/China relations at G20 and an unedifying EZ job wrangle all combine to set the scene for an interesting but tricky summer.

  20. 10. pro 2018.

    In The Market: A big piece of for US is the swift drop in probability of even a single quarter-point rate hike in the rate in 2019. In 8 meetings planned next year, futures traders saw the highest probability at 48.5% in Dec.

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