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The Fed's hike today puts another step in the
#FedFunds ladder. See why Jeff Gundlach (@TruthGundlach) thought "Damned if they do, damned if they don't" in this week's Thoughts from the Divide - Rate Hikes, Rainbows & Unicorns: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1qb4WGCA4p4A3ElxGF8eTHOPiC7YZdUGX/view …pic.twitter.com/h2jqPGM2ri
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Really strong SR1 vs. FF spread volume thus far in July.
#sofr#fedfunds pic.twitter.com/QZ9F6Smujd
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The Size of the Fed Funds Market By
@biancoresearch -@BiancoResearch The daily volume in the#FedFunds Market is near a 40-year low. Many factors led to this point. Dodd-Frank and the Volcker Rule increased capital requirements and made trading more…https://lnkd.in/ebSXXfq -
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Fed Funds futures are now pricing in a 100% probability of a July 31 US rate cut with a 50 bp cut currently gaining some traction.
#FOMC#FedFunds pic.twitter.com/3c4G1CPjKh
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So
#FedFunds is 1/2 pt higher than a year ago, but 10-yr is 85bp lower in yield ~ 2%. And#FOMC continues to tighten as balance sheet runs off....
pic.twitter.com/YnzCZynUPZ
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Long-Term average Real
#FedFunds rate around 2%... we have never had this level of stimulus (negative real rates) during an expansion before...#NewAbnormal needs to end and it is time to let Capitalism weed out the bad, reward the good and reduce wealth inequality.pic.twitter.com/Stps3mjEl8
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This is what it sounds like when doves cry. Fed decision did not go entirely as expected although it did take one rate hike off the table for next year.
@Old_National#FOMC#FederalReserve#fedfunds -
I am by no stretch a Fed or Interest Rate expert, but this forecast boggles my mind. There's now a greater likelihood of
#FedFunds 100 basis points LOWER in Dec than Unchanged? Prob. of multiple cuts moved from 2.4% to 36.7% in a month....with 3.6% unemployment? GTFOH. pic.twitter.com/KayDQJiVXY
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Projections of Fed rate changes appear misaligned with inflation expectations and GDP growth.
#inflationexpectations#fedfunds https://mric.com/chart-of-the-week-04292019-05032019/ …pic.twitter.com/IRbAGCZRVn
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3-1 and 5-1 year yield curves inverted today -
#FEDFUNDS chart http://www.tradingview.com/chart/FEDFUNDS/pbM9HJ7U-3-1-and-5-1-year-yield-curves-inverted-today/ … -
Hey Jim, you pretty much no nothing. Quantitative Tightening (QT) to the tune of $700 Billion and 9 increases in the
#FEDFUNDS rate drove the US dollar up and made our goods more expensive to foreigners. https://twitter.com/JimPethokoukis/status/1218307566196940800 … -
A little bit of money used very well is better than a lot of money used poorly. (Mike Smith)
@shankerinst#fedfunds -
Does it strike anyone else as ironic/scary that the factor that drives the stock market higher is an increased probability of a
#FedFunds rate cut because the economy is slowing because it can’t survive with 2.5%+ rates because debt levels got so high due to suppressed rates? -
#JPMorgan Cuts 2019 U.s. Fed Funds Forecast To 2.75 From 3.0;#JPMorganChase Cuts 2020 U.S.#FedFunds Forecast To 3.0 From 3.5 - Of Course They Are! As Predicted, Markets Are Now Pricing In A#FederalReserve 2020 Rate Cut. Why? Because: "You Can Never Taper A Ponzi Scheme." -
In Part 1 of 'US: The Trend to Negative Rates', things are happening a lot more quickly than ever before and
@JulianMI2 looks at the outcomes if the central banks are powerless to respond to deflationary pressures.#FOMC#ZLB#FedFunds pic.twitter.com/BeLkHdez93
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The Fed's continued involvement in the repo market has been affecting key interest rates. This could be signaling the Fed's difficulty to control monetary policy with the fed funds rate.
#Repo#GLMX#FedFunds#liquidity@whosalexharrishttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-11-13/the-fed-is-losing-its-grip-on-u-s-interest-rates-once-again … -
In this week's Macro Insiders In Focus,
@JulianMI2 reviews a dovish FOMC, a modest warming of US/China relations at G20 and an unedifying EZ job wrangle all combine to set the scene for an interesting but tricky summer.#FOMC#FedFunds pic.twitter.com/lnjtLvTxIT
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