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  2. Nov 24

    3. However when I questioned Chloe re the "terrible inaccuracies" she failed to clarify. I pointed out that while Chloe is relying on video footage fm journalists who can only film wth permission of Nusra Front/ , I was in Aleppo on day of attack & took first hand...

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  3. Nov 17

    If is alive, he's faced with the challenge of resolving a succession crisis. As I've written many times, has been decentralizing for years, with the core leadership less relevant than ever. That process of affiliate autonomy is accelerating even more so today.

    2 replies 3 retweets 16 likes
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  4. Nov 20

    "’s Leaders Are Dying, But a Greater Challenge Looms" -- My NEW piece in argues that recent success against AQ leaders is good news, but it's also missing the new & far more challenging threat: localizing, sustainable affiliates.

    1 reply 20 retweets 39 likes
  5. Nov 23

    can be senior partner, having no significant boots on the ground in , not gaining the legal political power there, but using Talibs as battle force and influence instrument. For Taliban, the cooperation with is the issue of prestige,power and links

    1 retweet 1 like
  6. Nov 23

    🇵🇰 Army has people with close ties to ', says Former P... via

    1 retweet 1 like
  7. Nov 19

    A new Huras al-Din video has shown the most contemporary known image (right) of senior operative Khalid al-Aruri (aka Abu al-Qassam al-Urduni) sometime before his death this summer in . Compare that with the last known, undated image (left). H/T

    6 retweets 18 likes
  8. Nov 23

    The increase in activity by in after 2014 and that by Moscow in backing the Taliban deepens suspicion of possible connection in logistics, financial and informational support to groups in the region.

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  9. Nov 17

    Re. rumours of 's death... Ongoing series "Sheikhs of the Ummah" by -linked media hasn't yet featured him. Either he's irrelevant or they're dodging the need to mark him dead or alive. After each name, Allah is asked to accept him (=dead) or protect him (=alive)

    4 retweets 15 likes
  10. Nov 21

    names veteran jihadist as new emir

    3 retweets 2 likes
  11. Nov 17

    As 's media chief, Hossam Abdul Raouf's death in would have sparked an AQ "lockdown" -- why? - It was AQ's media center that coordinated much of the core-affiliate communications; - I'm told Raouf's deputy was captured alive & a lot of data/drives seized.

    1 reply 3 retweets 14 likes
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  12. Nov 21

    in North Africa names new leader to succeed

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  13. Nov 24

    Policy Brief from my colleague : He argues the rushed drawdown in will undercut the very objective of defeating , which remains closely tied to the as the latter controls or contests over 50% of Afghanistan:

    4 retweets 4 likes
  14. Nov 24

    In 2003, an bomb killed Special Rep for Sergio de Mello & 21 colleagues. Many issues of working in conflict zones remain unresolved. To mark Day, we'll be discussing these (virtually) . Join us on 9DEC at 5pm GMT

    1 retweet 1 like
  15. Nov 17

    "Although ’s govt cooperated with us on a host of counterterrorism ops & provided a vital supply path for our forces in , it was an open secret that certain elements inside PakArmy, & especially its intel services, maintained links to & even

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  16. Nov 23

    Russians and the are working together, so there are no reasons to trust Talibs and expect their distancing from the radical groups, like .

    1 like
  17. Nov 20

    chief after 's death, Ayman Al-Zawahiri has passed away: sources

    11 retweets 36 likes
  18. Nov 19

    I think and are the only 2 groups in history that managed to create a bigger paperwork mess than defense travel system. 🥴

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  19. Nov 23

    It is likely, that plays a role of international connector for through its network of mentors and advisers who are embedded with the Taliban, providing advice, guidance and financial support.

    1 reply 1 like
  20. Nov 23

    Despite no evidences of mil cooperation btn ISIL-K and , it is possible that Taliban, -K and can have horizontal links and potentially may cooperate on tribal and clan’s level.

    1 retweet 2 likes
  21. Nov 17

    With Abu Mohammed al-Masri dead & Abu al-Khayr long gone (killed Feb '17), 's last remaining "deputy" is Sayf al-Adel, who's still in . That puts AQ in a *very* tricky situation in terms of leadership succession -- nobody based in would be trusted as leader.

    2 replies 10 retweets 19 likes
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