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  1. Aug 9

    Pattern in , & : Dems aren't necessarily making huge % strides in hardcore Trump zones. There, it's more a story of pathetic R turnout, which then allows anti-Trump energy in burbs to put Dems in contention.

    31 replies 252 retweets 759 likes
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  2. Aug 7

    Don’t let anyone fool you. The election results in are a SIREN to the , who had to spend nearly $5 MILLION in a normally safe seat. This race isn’t an anomaly. Remember Doug Jones in & Conor Lamb in ?😎

    Tonight’s razor-thin election results in is yet more evidence of the .🇺🇸 Any seat rated more than +4 is considered a major reach for the opposing party. is R+7 & never should have been in play. There are 68 seats MORE Democratic than .😎
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    43 replies 266 retweets 766 likes
  3. Aug 9
    Replying to

    What about Roy Moore? Arpiao? and many others? The has already landed in recent elections, ICYMI: ✔️ ✔️VA ✔️ When you vacation many work days, how can you win?

    3 likes
  4. Aug 9
    Replying to

    To be fair , were not great Republican candidates.

  5. Aug 9

    Where Trump’s endorsement made no difference: and . Both races with extremely well defined candidates. Massive shifts post-endorsements speak to how little defined most primary candidates are.

    1 reply 2 retweets
  6. Aug 9

    In the race, (rural northern AL) was Roy Moore’s best district (giving him 68%), but cast by far the fewest votes of AL’s 7 districts.

    Pattern in , & : Dems aren't necessarily making huge % strides in hardcore Trump zones. There, it's more a story of pathetic R turnout, which then allows anti-Trump energy in burbs to put Dems in contention.
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    4 replies 5 retweets 42 likes
  7. Aug 8

    Even in the earth-shattering , both sides turned out fewer voters than in 2016 (there was no Senate race that year, but Sessions ran unopposed for the seat in 2014, so it's the best comparison there is).

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  8. Aug 8
    Replying to

    And needless to say, failure to win more than two (, ) -friendly races isn’t a bad indicator when are improving enough to take lots of districts that are less red than those contested so far.

    I get that Dems have a huge tailwind. But Twitter seems to forget that they have to WIN these races. Coming close doesn’t matter. And with attention divided all over on Election Day, it’s gonna be harder to generate these media-driven focused special election tailwinds.
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    1 retweet
  9. Aug 7
    Replying to

    Also Doug Jones' massive upset win in !

    8 likes
  10. Aug 7

    2017-2018 federal special election results as compared to the seat's partisan lean: – D+18 – D+23 – D+16 – D+6 – D+16 – D+3 – D+31 – D+22 – D+20 – D+5 – D+13 (est.)

    4 replies 180 retweets 297 likes
  11. Aug 7

    There will probably be a GOP effort to explain away a Balderson loss or narrow victory w/ a local excuse. But what could the common denominator in closer-than-usual races in , -AL, , , , , ? Answer:

    12 replies 58 retweets 200 likes
  12. Aug 7

    This was how Doug Jones won in

    Franklin Co. is already at 57% of its raw 2016 turnout & there are still 13 precincts left to count there. By comparison, the most R county (Morrow) is at just 46% of its 2016 turnout & it's entirely reported.
    3 likes
  13. Aug 7

    Just remember.... race was decided at the completion of all precincts reporting. Cc

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  14. Aug 7

    . launching 7-figure, pro- TV ad buy targeting Heitkamp, Donnelly, Manchin, Jones, & Murkowski.

    1 reply 4 retweets 3 likes
  15. Aug 6
    Replying to and

    We had a lot of Russian bot activity in the race. Strangely, they were all for Roy Moore. 🤔😂

    1 reply 1 retweet 7 likes
  16. Aug 5
    Replying to

    Trump's have played pretty badly though EXCEPT in GOP primaries. Cases in point Doug Jones beat Roy Moore in . won in a ruby red Pa district &@dannyoconnor1 may win an R+7% district. These aren't signs that nothing matters with such behavior per

    1 retweet 3 likes
  17. Aug 4

    'Red and Gold' in , which is using an ad firm commonly used by Democratic leadership, continues the tactic pioneered by Dems starting with 'Highway 31' in and 'Duty and Country' in , which took advantage of the FEC's filing schedule to avoid transparency.

    2 replies 4 retweets 1 like
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  18. Aug 3
    Replying to

    But what if Dems don’t take either TN or TX? I’ve seen similar stories in the past. I wouldn’t call it expanding the map until it happens. As for ? I think it’s an outlier, rather than part of trend.

    1 reply 1 like
  19. Aug 2

    Trump donor’s contract with Cohen included $10 million success fee: report alabama politics

    1 reply 2 retweets 1 like
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  20. Aug 2

    : Senate Majority PAC — looking to duplicate the successful field program it ran during last year’s special election — wants to put $20M into GOTV in battleground states. (via )

    2 retweets

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