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Chaserdude Outlook - Saturday 03 October: Hot dog headed for the Gulf. Check back later for more in-depth analysis.
#92L pic.twitter.com/bqKhFnBOCY
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Computer models have sprung to attention Re: Caribbean thing (Invest
#92L). Most, including even GFS, now bring significant system to Middle Gulf Coast Friday-ish. HWRF & HMON—which have done well this year—are especially bullish on intensity, bringing it in as#hurricane. Hmmm. pic.twitter.com/G3sqbyjQVr
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Start your engines....I believe the hurricane season finale is about to start...
#92L#FutureDeltapic.twitter.com/NoFeKFKFiG
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Here are this evening's computer model tracks for our Gulf low. They will struggle until a well-defined center develops later this week, but the general idea is this likely tracks north toward Texas or Louisiana.
#92L http://abc13.com/tropicalupdate pic.twitter.com/7BcHnlE1Es
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Haha this tropical weather outlook is rather amusing. Pretty much the entire Atlantic monsoon trough is highlighted for possible development. All areas seem pretty low probability though individually.
#92L (eastern area) has fallen off a lot after being 70% chance the other day. pic.twitter.com/Xmt4cRkeli
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What a difference a few hours makes...
#92L is well on its way to becoming at least a depression now. pic.twitter.com/d1mv2rllLF
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My thoughts on Invest
#92L this afternoon.... pic.twitter.com/0SWimaKdeH -
Invest
#92L is now emerging over the Gulf of Mexico. Very broad, very disorganized. A sloppy mess. pic.twitter.com/n6KUJhJGQf -
Invest
#92L has a robust spin to it, but is lacking in convection. If this system starts to fire up, it'll be quickly named as the 9th tropical cyclone of the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season. pic.twitter.com/K5XX3eAYwg -
12z GFS on board with potential for hurricane threat for Gulf Coast late next week. And no, the cooler SSTs are not a guarantee that this will be “no big deal”. I’ll explain in my daily video discussion later today.
#92L pic.twitter.com/cqpQrE7iLk -
As of a few hours ago, still nothing close to a closed circulation in the Gulf of Mexico with
#92L... pic.twitter.com/veDMmmwDlc
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#92L is starting to get some deeper convection and banding near the Yucatan plus a nice overall twist. Still a broad and disorganized low pressure, but getting that "look". pic.twitter.com/jt4o8px1L2 -
Still likely scenario of
#92L coming north with large slug of HEAVY RAIN for the wettest part of the country. Guidance holds low together very well over southeast then off ATL/NE coast. Looks like it will trying to get a name even if it has to wait till its off the east coast. pic.twitter.com/jRSvgm9lJA
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#92L still a mess caught in the web of an upper low and its pitfalls, but today this "mess" starts to move north with a lot of rain potential. Jury still out as to where this will be on the northern gulf coast and inland. GFS is further east and south with the "load" than EURO. pic.twitter.com/7TKUHCmzDy -
#92L is our first cherry since 97L (pre-Elsa), although it does seem a bit aggressive with the wave still inland and model support all over the place. pic.twitter.com/NETEaTy65V
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Still monitoring
#92L which is a broad tropical low pressure system producing pockets of heavy rain across central America. The weak circulation of this system is expected to lift northward across the Bay of Campeche tomorrow, and that's where things get slightly interesting. pic.twitter.com/yQaW8u6x2b -
Invest
#92L is a broad, disorganized, fairly ill-defined feature this morning. Models continue to bring it north this weekend with most impacts in Louisiana. Rough seas, higher tides, a slight breeze, and somewhat higher rain chances for SE Texas. pic.twitter.com/pgsuFvXkAY -
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Ohhh shiiiiiiit
#PTC26#Hurricane#Delta#92L pic.twitter.com/L0545BZ0I9
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