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harjtaggar's profile
Harj Taggar
Harj Taggar
Harj Taggar
@harjtaggar

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Harj Taggar

@harjtaggar

iPhone: 49.284729,-123.109573
harj.posthaven.com
Joined October 2006

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    1. Justin Wolfers‏Verified account @JustinWolfers Mar 20
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      No other country has been this far into the pandemic and still had the number of cases growing at the rates the U.S. is seeing. (https://www.ft.com/content/a26fbf7e-48f8-11ea-aeb3-955839e06441 …)pic.twitter.com/QjoGl0LDgT

      1,965 replies 10,462 retweets 17,997 likes
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    2. Justin Wolfers‏Verified account @JustinWolfers Mar 20
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      Lots of people have been asking me what this would look like on a per capita. Short answer: If you care about the slopes -- that is, the trajectory -- pretty darn similar. Longer answer: Let's learn about logs.

      45 replies 174 retweets 1,588 likes
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    3. Justin Wolfers‏Verified account @JustinWolfers Mar 20
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      The vertical axis shows total cases on a log scale, so it's like graphing log(cases) on a regular scale. A per capita graph shows log(cases/population) which = log(cases)-log(population). Total population is barely moving day to day, so this is like log(cases)-constant.

      13 replies 111 retweets 815 likes
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    4. Justin Wolfers‏Verified account @JustinWolfers Mar 20
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      So on a log scale, the graph of total cases is just like the graph of total cases per capita, except the per capita line would be shifted down everywhere by the same amount.

      9 replies 87 retweets 654 likes
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      Harj Taggar‏ @harjtaggar Mar 20
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      Replying to @JustinWolfers

      Isn't the number of cases a function of testing capacity though? So if a government were effectively ramping up testing, it'd look like they were doing a bad job on this graph but in reality they'd be responding correctly? (Not claiming this is true for the US).

      1:57 PM - 20 Mar 2020
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      2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
        1. Rocki Wingard‏ @RockiWingard Mar 20
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          Replying to @harjtaggar @JustinWolfers

          Not exactly. If implemented early along with strict isolation protocols, it would look like S. Korea's. A steady increase that flattens out. 💩 is going to get BAD REALLY REALLY BADpic.twitter.com/8vDi1LCwsp

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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