Can anyone explain the theory where it's ok to go back to public schools / public gatherings in ~4-6 weeks? The virus won't be gone then, right? Even if its numbers diminish a lot, wouldn't it go back to its fast growth rate once we go back to normal?
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"(self-isolation and other steps) will need to be maintained until a vaccine becomes available (potentially 18 months or more) – given that we predict that transmission will quickly rebound if interventions are relaxed." https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf …
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Replying to @eliotwb
The Imperial paper does not make assumptions for increased availability of testing and contact tracing, which would make it safer to selectively quarantine people vs full quarantine we need right now.
2:04 PM - 17 Mar 2020
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