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1/n One of @gwern's best essays ever is a review of a book nobody has ever heard of.
It's about looking into the future, seeing exactly what awaits us, and being unable to capitalize on this knowledge, because you only know *what* will be and not *when* it will be.
"If you're so smart, why aren't you rich?" Comments from LW gives a new perspective about wealth and intellect and luck. Always wondered if Luck has a theory, what would be!
Somehow, "hard work" is missing from these lists, execution is easy to forget when theorizing. (And I'm not trying to diss - it's as much about "laziness" as about motivation / mission and the luck part - just personal circumstances.)
At the top levels, everyone works hard. It doesn't need mentioning, and working hard can easily be a liability. How did Hamming put it, 'A year in the lab can save an hour in the library'?
3/. Someone could have built the Rift in mid-to-late 2007 for a few thousand dollars, & they could have built it in mid-2008 for about $500. It's just nobody was paying attention to that." Luck goes to@those who pay attention.
2/ "Here's a secret: the thing stopping people from making good VR & solving these problems was not technical.
1/ Not sure what comment you’re referring to. But read gwern’s review of the MIT book which was amazing and took away the following insight from Oculus
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