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gwern's profile
gwern
gwern
gwern
@gwern

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gwern

@gwern

Writer, independent researcher, Internet 𝘣𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘦𝘳𝘸𝘪𝘴𝘴𝘦𝘳

Present day. Present time. (Ahahaha!)
gwern.net
Joined November 2008

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    1.  🤖 Sonya Mann  🎀‏Verified account @sonyaellenmann Oct 16

      okay one of the key realizations about probabilities is that *sometimes unlikely things happen*

      13 replies 3 retweets 60 likes
      Show this thread
    2.  🤖 Sonya Mann  🎀‏Verified account @sonyaellenmann Oct 16

      appending this @Lispegistus response with permission the point is that any individual unlikely thing is unlikely (as long as we've correctly judged it to be unlikely) however! it is very likely, at any given time, that something unlikely is happeningpic.twitter.com/exYTuL4kWG

      One of the weirdest things about being a space nerd is you learn that unlikely events, are very likely. Planets getting ejected from the galaxy or vaporized by gamma bursts? Happens all the time. Hell, even whole universes can just pop into being, that one happened at least once.
      7 replies 4 retweets 31 likes
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      gwern‏ @gwern Oct 16
      Replying to @sonyaellenmann @Lispegistus

      gwern Retweeted gwern

      Basically, Littlewood's law: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Littlewood%27s_law … I think about this in the context of news, which is biased towards reporting about the most unlikely things which happen worldwide, which since the world is getting bigger...:https://twitter.com/gwern/status/981643199524556801 …

      gwern added,

      gwern @gwern
      Youtube shooter reminds me of my comment about the Israeli Jew hacker with a brain tumor who made up a large fraction of all anti-semitic hate crimes in USA: http://slatestarcodex.com/2017/03/30/links-317-relinkquishment/#comment-481879 … Littlewood's Law; a large fraction of all people ever are alive now - and people are 𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘳𝘥.
      Show this thread
      3:06 PM - 16 Oct 2018
      • 3 Likes
      • Gordon Brander 🤖 Sonya Mann 🎀
      0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes

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