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As if living in Chicago isn’t surreal enough, one day you get a postcard from the government telling you their MLEs have calculated the next 18 months would be a great time for you to be out of town. Not sure if this is a threat, you sigh and move to Brooklyn.
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Using ML to predict shootings in Chicago: “…of the 500 people with the highest predicted risk, 13 percent are shot within 18 months” nber.org/papers/w30170
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