Conversation

"Why don't we scale up the Donbass offensive by feeding our new forces into the grinder piece by piece" "Oh yes that sounds great"
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although things do seem to have gotten better on their side afaik maybe still not *good* per se, but a lot less disastrous than the initial push on Kyiv a lot more slowly and methodical whether that's enough with combined arms ops still not working properly is anyones guess
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i mean sure, but if they could unfuck their logistics to an extent that would def help them real important to not underestimate RU now, esp with partial mobilization maybe around the corner. this isn't a done deal by any means, UKR is gonna need all the help they can get
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Mobilization might change the tide for sure. But Putin's reluctance to do it points to large obstacles that he can't. Also even if they mobilize now the new forces won't be ready. And it's not 1944 any more. You can't just send 800k men to die without training just because.
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i'm aware of all those issues reserves don't just turn into spetsnaz overnight but they can drive trucks and haul ammo. frees up other forces
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The longer they wait the less other forces they have to free up. It's just a disaster on all sides. And I'm saying this as someone that was pretty negative about Ukraine's chances at the beginning.
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yes, it's already been hugely costly for RU, and if they escalate like that it will just become orders of magnitude worse for them my point is more that they could cause a huge amount of damage nonetheless if they do this, not that this will suddenly become Desert Storm 2.0
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I have spent the last 20 years closely tracking Almeria's wars and proxy wars. What is reported in the media often has no basis in truth. The same people who say Ukraine is winning just spent 20 years telling us that America was winning in Afghanistan
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