Things that didn’t age well in four days
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His work is not anywhere near that insightful
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You may end up being right (I hope so at least)...but as you even say, it's only been *four days*.
Really hard to say what's actually happening on the ground and I'm afraid our feeds are likely biased.
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On the other hand, hearing commentary about Ukraine performing better than expected/Russians being frustrated from people who have been tracking this conflict for months (, , ) makes me think all the social media opium is somewhat grounded.
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